Tennis · Challenger Phan Thiet · 18/09, 05:00
Prediction: Cruz Hewitt vs Ilia Simakin
Team pages: Cruz Hewitt · Ilia Simakin
Prediction summary
Winner
Cruz Hewitt
Ilia Simakin
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Cruz Hewitt
6-4 (W-L)
Ilia Simakin
10-0 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Cruz Hewitt 1552 · Ilia Simakin 1664
| Cruz Hewitt | Ilia Simakin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 66% |
| Market | 28% | 72% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ilia Simakin (rating 1552 vs 1664).
- Ilia Simakin dominates on serve: 7 aces and 61.3% break avg.
- Ilia Simakin is in better form: 100% recent wins.
- Note: Cruz Hewitt makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Cruz Hewitt | Ilia Simakin | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 100% |
| Win % · Hard | 71% (7) | 100% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 2-0.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-10.3 | 13.3-8.4 |
| Aces | 3.6 | 7 |
| Double faults | 4.2 | 1.7 |
| 1st serve % | 72.4% | 82.7% |
| Break % | 37.2% | 61.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Cruz Hewitt
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/09 | Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 15/09 | Digvijay Pratap Singh Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 11/09 | Max Purcell Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 10/09 | Timofei Derepasko Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/09 | Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 25/08 | Arthur Fery ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 24/08 | Sebastian Gorzny ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-1 | 14-16 | W |
| 07/08 | Clement Chidekh M25 Southaven |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 06/08 | Leo Vithoontien M25 Southaven |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 05/08 | Axel Nefve M25 Southaven |
2-1 | 13-8 | W |
Ilia Simakin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/09 | Blake Ellis Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/09 | Timofei Derepasko Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 13/09 | Arthur Weber Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 12/09 | Max Purcell Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 11/09 | Philip Sekulic Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 10/09 | Enzo Aguiard Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 08/09 | Sergio Callejon Hernando Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 06/09 | Kasidit Samrej Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 05/09 | Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 04/09 | Ilya Ivashka Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Cruz Hewitt vs Ilia Simakin?
Our model gives 69% to Ilia Simakin, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.