Tennis · Challenger Phan Thiet · 19/09, 05:00
Prediction: Ilia Simakin vs Hunter Heck
Team pages: Ilia Simakin · Hunter Heck
Prediction summary
Winner
Ilia Simakin
Hunter Heck
Estimated games
20.2
Recent form · 10 last
Ilia Simakin
10-0 (W-L)
Hunter Heck
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ilia Simakin 1640 · Hunter Heck 1561
| Ilia Simakin | Hunter Heck | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 39% |
| Market | 78% | 22% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ilia Simakin (rating 1640 vs 1561).
- Ilia Simakin dominates on serve: 7 aces and 75.5% break avg.
- Ilia Simakin is in better form: 100% recent wins.
Statistics
| Ilia Simakin | Hunter Heck | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 100% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (10) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 2-0.3 | 1.3-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.2-7.8 | 10-8.5 |
| Aces | 7 | 2 |
| Double faults | 2 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 84.5% | 54% |
| Break % | 75.5% | 0% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ilia Simakin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09 | Cruz Hewitt Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 17/09 | Blake Ellis Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/09 | Timofei Derepasko Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 13/09 | Arthur Weber Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 12/09 | Max Purcell Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 11/09 | Philip Sekulic Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 10/09 | Enzo Aguiard Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 08/09 | Sergio Callejon Hernando Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 06/09 | Kasidit Samrej Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 05/09 | Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
Hunter Heck
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09 | Matthew Dellavedova Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/09 | Luka Pavlovic Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 15/09 | Khumoyun Sultanov Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/09 | S D Prajwal Dev Challenger Phan Thiet Qual · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/09 | Ethan Cook Challenger Phan Thiet Qual · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 07/09 | Aditya Vishal Balsekar Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 06/09 | Nam Nguyen Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 22/08 | Mees Rottgering ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 16/08 | Andrew Fenty Challenger Kingston · Hard |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 03/08 | Kenta Miyoshi Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ilia Simakin vs Hunter Heck?
Our model gives 71% to Ilia Simakin, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.