Tennis · Challenger Guangzhou · 18/09, 09:00
Prediction: Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong vs Petr Bar Biryukov
Team pages: Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong · Petr Bar Biryukov
Prediction summary
Winner
Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong
Petr Bar Biryukov
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong
6-4 (W-L)
Petr Bar Biryukov
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong
1–2
Petr Bar Biryukov
(3 last)
- 01 Sept2-0 13-9W
- 21 May1-2 12-17L
- 08 Aug0-2 9-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong 1556 · Petr Bar Biryukov 1512
| Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong | Petr Bar Biryukov | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong (rating 1556 vs 1512).
- Head-to-head: Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong 1–2 Petr Bar Biryukov (3).
- Note: Petr Bar Biryukov makes many double faults (5/match).
Statistics
| Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong | Petr Bar Biryukov | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.7 | 1.1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.1-8.6 | 11.2-11.6 |
| Aces | 4.2 | 9.3 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 5 |
| 1st serve % | 74.1% | 76% |
| Break % | 60.4% | 32.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
H2H · Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong 1 – 2 Petr Bar Biryukov (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong 1–2 Petr Bar Biryukov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09/26 Challenger Zhangjiagang | 2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 21/05/26 Challenger Bengaluru | 1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 08/08/25 M15 Astana | 0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/09 | James Trotter Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/09 | Sergey Fomin Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/09 | Ye Hongyu Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 08/09 | Omar Jasika Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 06/09 | Takeru Yuzuki Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 05/09 | Ilia Simakin Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 03/09 | Koki Matsuda Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/09 | Petr Bar Biryukov Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 31/08 | Dominik Palan Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 10/08 | Erik Arutiunian Challenger Astana · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Petr Bar Biryukov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/09 | Naoya Honda Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 15/09 | Jesse Delaney Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 08/09 | Denis Yevseyev Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 01/09 | Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 26/08 | Qian Sun M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 22/08 | Kokoro Isomura M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 21/08 | Tianhui Zhang M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 20/08 | James Van Herzeele M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 19/08 | Zhiheng Xia M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 13/08 | Jie Cui Challenger Astana · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong vs Petr Bar Biryukov?
Our model gives 56% to Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.