Tennis · M25 Guiyang · 18/09, 04:00
Prediction: Alibek Kachmazov vs Robin Catry
Team pages: Alibek Kachmazov · Robin Catry
Prediction summary
Winner
Alibek Kachmazov
Robin Catry
Estimated games
22.6
Recent form · 10 last
Alibek Kachmazov
6-4 (W-L)
Robin Catry
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alibek Kachmazov 1561 · Robin Catry 1530
| Alibek Kachmazov | Robin Catry | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Alibek Kachmazov dominates on serve: 10.6 aces and 40.7% break avg.
Statistics
| Alibek Kachmazov | Robin Catry | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 71% (7) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.7 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.3-10.2 | 11.8-10.6 |
| Aces | 10.6 | 6.5 |
| Double faults | 3.5 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 78.9% | 70.6% |
| Break % | 40.7% | 38.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alibek Kachmazov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/09 | Qian Sun M25 Guiyang |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 15/09 | Shaoyun Liu M25 Guiyang |
2-1 | 18-9 | W |
| 07/09 | Gabriel Ghetu Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 06/09 | Louis Wessels Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 09/08 | Colin Sinclair Challenger Astana · Hard |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 06/08 | Sora Fukuda M15 Astana |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 26/04 | Anton Arzhankin M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 25/04 | Marek Gengel M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 24/04 | Fares Zakaria M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 23/04 | Semen Pankin M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Robin Catry
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/09 | Seonyong Han M25 Guiyang |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 16/09 | Nick Beamish M25 Guiyang |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/09 | Kousuke Ogura M25 Sapporo |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 01/08 | Markus Molder M15 Dublin |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 31/07 | Lucas Marionneau M15 Dublin |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 30/07 | Jordi Mas De Ugarte M15 Dublin |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 29/07 | Andrew Gaule M15 Dublin |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 07/07 | Yi Zhou Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 03/07 | Dan Added M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Clement Lemire M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alibek Kachmazov vs Robin Catry?
Our model gives 60% to Alibek Kachmazov, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.