Tennis · M25 Guiyang · 17/09, 05:30
Prediction: Nikolai Barsukov vs Yue Xia
Team pages: Nikolai Barsukov · Yue Xia
Prediction summary
Winner
Nikolai Barsukov
Yue Xia
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Nikolai Barsukov
5-5 (W-L)
Yue Xia
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nikolai Barsukov 1487 · Yue Xia 1427
| Nikolai Barsukov | Yue Xia | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 86% | 14% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nikolai Barsukov (rating 1487 vs 1427).
Statistics
| Nikolai Barsukov | Yue Xia | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 13% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 0.6-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.8-12.6 | 7.3-10.8 |
| Aces | 5.2 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 1.3 |
| 1st serve % | 64.4% | 58.2% |
| Break % | 35.9% | 31.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nikolai Barsukov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09 | Yuquan Jin M25 Guiyang |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 03/09 | Romain Faucon M25 Meerbusch |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/09 | Christian Djonov M25 Meerbusch |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 28/08 | Jakub Filip M15 Allershausen |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 27/08 | Thilo Behrmann M15 Allershausen |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 18/08 | David Fix M25 Ueberlingen |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 09/08 | Niklas Guttau Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 03/08 | Juan Bautista Torres Challenger Hagen · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 02/08 | Mika Petkovic Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 31/07 | Filip Krolo M25 Wetzlar |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Yue Xia
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09 | Stefan Vujic M25 Guiyang |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 15/09 | Dong Kyu Lee M25 Guiyang |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/09 | Hiromasa Koyama M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Ivan Dorokhov M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 01/09 | Alex Jones M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 25/08 | Yua Taka M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Duckhee Lee M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Xinyuan Xie M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/07 | Hoyoung Roh M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Chun-Chien Hou M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nikolai Barsukov vs Yue Xia?
Our model gives 73% to Nikolai Barsukov, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.