Tennis · W35 Kyoto · 17/09, 03:00

Prediction: Hina Inoue vs Rinko Matsuda

Team pages: Hina Inoue · Rinko Matsuda

Prediction summary
Winner
54% 46%
Hina Inoue Rinko Matsuda
Estimated games
22.8
Recent form · 10 last
Hina Inoue 4-6 (W-L)
WLWLLLWLWL
Rinko Matsuda 7-3 (W-L)
WWWWWWLLLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Hina Inoue 1521 · Rinko Matsuda 1571
Hina InoueRinko Matsuda
Our model43%57%
Market63%38%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Rinko Matsuda (rating 1521 vs 1571).
  • Note: Hina Inoue makes many double faults (5.1/match).

Statistics

Hina InoueRinko Matsuda
Win %60%80%
Sets (G-P)1.3-1.21.6-0.8
Games (G-P)10.9-11.813.2-11.1
Aces5.82.9
Double faults5.12.2
1st serve %64%60.7%
Break %41.5%57%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.8

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Hina Inoue

LWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
16/09 Mutsumi Uemura
W35 Kyoto
2-1 15-12 W
11/09 Yufei Ren
W50 Guiyang
1-2 11-16 L
10/09 Vaishnavi Adkar
W50 Guiyang
2-1 15-14 W
08/09 Sofia Costoulas
W50 Guiyang
2-1 18-13 W
01/09 Miho Kuramochi
W75 Tianjin
0-2 4-12 L
29/07 Olivia Lincer
W75 Lexington
0-2 5-12 L
26/07 Malaika Rapolu
W35 Santa Fe
0-2 2-12 L
25/07 Dana Guzman
W35 Santa Fe
2-0 12-5 W
24/07 Kate Fakih
W35 Santa Fe
2-1 14-12 W
23/07 Kolie Allen
W35 Santa Fe
2-0 13-10 W

Rinko Matsuda

WLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
15/09 Ayumi Miyamoto
W35 Kyoto
2-0 13-9 W
31/08 Shiyu Ye
W75 Tianjin
0-2 8-13 L
30/08 Sakura Hosogi
W75 Tianjin
2-1 18-17 W
27/08 Priska Madelyn Nugroho
W15 Tianjin
0-2 3-12 L
26/08 Kamonwan Yodpetch
W15 Tianjin
2-0 12-6 W
23/08 Meng Yi Chen
W15 Tianjin
2-1 16-10 W
22/08 Peangtarn Plipuech
W15 Tianjin
2-0 12-6 W
21/08 Ya-Yi Yang
W15 Tianjin
2-1 19-17 W
20/08 Na Ri Kim
W15 Tianjin
2-1 19-16 W
19/08 Xiran Lan
W15 Tianjin
2-0 12-5 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Hina Inoue vs Rinko Matsuda?

Our model gives 54% to Hina Inoue.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.