Prediction: Eri Shimizu vs Jia-Jing Lu
Team pages: Eri Shimizu · Jia-Jing Lu
Prediction summary
Winner
Eri Shimizu
Jia-Jing Lu
Estimated games
22.1
Recent form · 10 last
Eri Shimizu
4-6 (W-L)
Jia-Jing Lu
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Eri Shimizu
1–0
Jia-Jing Lu
(1 last)
- 13 Feb2-0 12-6W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Eri Shimizu 1520 · Jia-Jing Lu 1529
| Eri Shimizu | Jia-Jing Lu | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 38% | 63% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Eri Shimizu 1–0 Jia-Jing Lu (1).
- Note: Jia-Jing Lu makes many double faults (5.7/match).
Statistics
| Eri Shimizu | Jia-Jing Lu | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (5) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.1 | 1.2-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.6-11.3 | 11.3-10.3 |
| Aces | 1 | 2.7 |
| Double faults | 1.9 | 5.7 |
| 1st serve % | 65% | 64.8% |
| Break % | 49.9% | 51.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.1
H2H · Eri Shimizu 1 – 0 Jia-Jing Lu (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Eri Shimizu 1–0 Jia-Jing Lu
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/02/24 ITF W35 Nakhon Si Thammarat | 2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Eri Shimizu
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/09 | Jiangxue Han W35 Kyoto |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 16/09 | Michika Ozeki W35 Kyoto |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 07/09 | Sijia Wei W50 Guiyang |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 06/09 | Patcharin Cheapchandej W50 Guiyang |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 30/08 | Valeria Savinykh W75 Tianjin |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 18/06 | Misaki Matsuda W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Nagi Hanatani W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 12/06 | Mayuka Aikawa W15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 11/06 | Nanari Katsumi W15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 10/06 | Mutsumi Uemura W15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
Jia-Jing Lu
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/09 | Kamonwan Yodpetch W35 Kyoto |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 16/09 | Kanon Sawashiro W35 Kyoto |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 06/09 | Wushuang Zheng W50 Guiyang |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Patcharin Cheapchandej W75 Tianjin |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 31/08 | Chengyiyi Yuan W75 Tianjin |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/08 | Erika Sema W75 Tianjin |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 28/08 | Han Shi W15 Tianjin |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 27/08 | Patcharin Cheapchandej W15 Tianjin |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 26/08 | Sijia Wei W15 Tianjin |
2-1 | 17-17 | W |
| 07/08 | Annika Penickova W35 Southaven |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Eri Shimizu vs Jia-Jing Lu?
Our model gives 57% to Jia-Jing Lu, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.