Prediction: Natsuki Yoshimoto vs Ena Shibahara
Team pages: Natsuki Yoshimoto · Ena Shibahara
Prediction summary
Winner
Natsuki Yoshimoto
Ena Shibahara
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Natsuki Yoshimoto
5-5 (W-L)
Ena Shibahara
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Natsuki Yoshimoto 1524 · Ena Shibahara 1476
| Natsuki Yoshimoto | Ena Shibahara | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 31% | 69% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Natsuki Yoshimoto (rating 1524 vs 1476).
- Note: Ena Shibahara makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Natsuki Yoshimoto | Ena Shibahara | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 0% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 1.3-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.6-8.8 | 11.3-11.4 |
| Aces | 0.4 | 5.4 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 4 |
| 1st serve % | 65.3% | 71.3% |
| Break % | 60.2% | 54.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Natsuki Yoshimoto
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/09 | Tiana Tian Deng W35 Kyoto |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 16/09 | Hikaru Sato W35 Kyoto |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 20/08 | Eva Marie Desvignes W15 Tianjin |
0-2 | 6-10 | L |
| 19/08 | Eunyeong Park W15 Tianjin |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 11/08 | Yushan Shao W15 Tianjin |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 29/07 | Lily Taylor W15 Brisbane |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/07 | Destanee Aiava W15 Brisbane |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/07 | I Wen Wan W15 Brisbane |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 23/07 | Mutsumi Uemura W15 Brisbane |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 21/07 | Mana Kawamura W15 Brisbane |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Ena Shibahara
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/09 | Yuno Kitahara W35 Kyoto |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 15/09 | Sakura Hosogi W35 Kyoto |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/07 | Emma Dong WTA Vancouver · Hard |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 01/04 | Misaki Matsuda W100 Luan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 25/03 | Yidi Yang W50 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 18/03 | Claire Liu W75 Kofu · ~Hard |
1-2 | 8-16 | L |
| 15/03 | Hayu Kinoshita W75 Kyoto |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 14/03 | Yexin Ma W75 Kyoto |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 13/03 | Haruka Kaji W75 Kyoto |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 12/03 | Kurea Hayasaka W75 Kyoto |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Natsuki Yoshimoto vs Ena Shibahara?
Our model gives 57% to Ena Shibahara, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.