Prediction: Sayaka Ishii vs Amelia Rajecki
Team pages: Sayaka Ishii · Amelia Rajecki
Prediction summary
Winner
Sayaka Ishii
Amelia Rajecki
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Sayaka Ishii
4-6 (W-L)
Amelia Rajecki
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Sayaka Ishii
2–1
Amelia Rajecki
(3 last)
- 05 Aug0-2 8-13L
- 31 May2-0 12-8W
- 24 Feb2-0 13-10W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sayaka Ishii 1484 · Amelia Rajecki 1572
| Sayaka Ishii | Amelia Rajecki | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 62% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Amelia Rajecki (rating 1484 vs 1572).
- Amelia Rajecki dominates on serve: 7.2 aces and 55.1% break avg.
- Amelia Rajecki is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Sayaka Ishii 2–1 Amelia Rajecki (3).
- Note: Sayaka Ishii makes many double faults (5.6/match).
- Note: Amelia Rajecki makes many double faults (6.4/match).
Statistics
| Sayaka Ishii | Amelia Rajecki | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (3) | 100% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.1 | 1.7-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-10.5 | 13.1-9.6 |
| Aces | 1.8 | 7.2 |
| Double faults | 5.6 | 6.4 |
| 1st serve % | 62.4% | 72.2% |
| Break % | 61.3% | 55.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
H2H · Sayaka Ishii 2 – 1 Amelia Rajecki (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sayaka Ishii 2–1 Amelia Rajecki
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08/26 W35 Roehampton | 0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 31/05/25 WTA Birmingham | 2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 24/02/25 W75 Trnava | 2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sayaka Ishii
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09 | Cheuk Ying Shek W35 Kyoto |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 30/08 | Urszula Radwanska W50 Leiria |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 27/08 | Alice Ferlito W15 Torello · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 26/08 | Neus Torner Sensano W15 Torello · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 21/08 | Juliana Giaccio W15 Logrono |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 20/08 | Valentina Losciale W15 Logrono |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 19/08 | Jordina Font W15 Logrono |
2-1 | 19-13 | W |
| 10/08 | Katarina Kujovic W35 Aldershot |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 09/08 | Erin Pearce W35 Aldershot |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 05/08 | Amelia Rajecki W35 Roehampton · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Amelia Rajecki
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09 | Nagi Hanatani W35 Kyoto |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/08 | Maria Toma W50 Leiria |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 09/08 | Ella Mcdonald W35 Roehampton · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 07/08 | Brooke Black W35 Roehampton · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 06/08 | Hikaru Sato W35 Roehampton · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 05/08 | Sayaka Ishii W35 Roehampton · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 02/08 | Vendula Valdmannova W50 Dublin |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 01/08 | Viktoria Hruncakova W50 Dublin |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 31/07 | Britt Du Pree W50 Dublin |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 30/07 | Alicia Dudeney W50 Dublin |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sayaka Ishii vs Amelia Rajecki?
Our model gives 60% to Amelia Rajecki, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.