Tennis · M25 Guiyang · 17/09, 04:00
Prediction: Leo Borg vs Maksim Shin
Team pages: Leo Borg · Maksim Shin
Prediction summary
Winner
Leo Borg
Maksim Shin
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Leo Borg
8-2 (W-L)
Maksim Shin
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Leo Borg 1554 · Maksim Shin 1465
| Leo Borg | Maksim Shin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 86% | 14% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Leo Borg (rating 1554 vs 1465).
- Leo Borg dominates on serve: 6.5 aces and 45% break avg.
- Leo Borg is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Maksim Shin makes many double faults (5.7/match).
Statistics
| Leo Borg | Maksim Shin | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 33% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.8 | 1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.6-11 | 9.7-10.5 |
| Aces | 6.5 | 2.3 |
| Double faults | 2 | 5.7 |
| 1st serve % | 75% | 67.4% |
| Break % | 45% | 36.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Leo Borg
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09 | Chan-Yeong Oh M25 Guiyang |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 10/09 | Alexander Chang M15 Bali |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Jake Dembo M15 Bali |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 05/09 | Isaac Becroft M15 Bali |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 04/09 | Sam Ryan Ziegann M15 Bali |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 03/09 | Ha Minh Duc Vu M15 Bali |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/09 | Alexander Chang M15 Bali |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 23/08 | Niklas Guttau M15 Bastad · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 22/08 | John Hallquist Lithen M15 Bastad · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 21/08 | Stefan Seifert M15 Bastad · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
Maksim Shin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09 | Hao-Yu Lin M25 Guiyang |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 10/09 | Zhao Zhao M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 09/09 | Harrison Satara M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 02/09 | Miles Jones M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 02/07 | Alessandro Coccioli M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 30/06 | Cagan Efe Tufekci M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/06 | Udit Kamboj M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Dev Javia M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 28/05 | Yanki Erel M15 Kutaisi · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 25/05 | Jack McGary M15 Kutaisi · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Leo Borg vs Maksim Shin?
Our model gives 75% to Leo Borg, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.