Tennis · Challenger Guangzhou · 16/09, 12:30
Prediction: Marat Sharipov vs Lloyd Harris
Team pages: Marat Sharipov · Lloyd Harris
Prediction summary
Winner
Marat Sharipov
Lloyd Harris
Estimated games
22.8
Recent form · 10 last
Marat Sharipov
7-3 (W-L)
Lloyd Harris
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Marat Sharipov 1584 · Lloyd Harris 1592
| Marat Sharipov | Lloyd Harris | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 31% | 69% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Marat Sharipov dominates on serve: 8.2 aces and 54.9% break avg.
- Lloyd Harris dominates on serve: 9.8 aces and 65.4% break avg.
Statistics
| Marat Sharipov | Lloyd Harris | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 83% (6) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.5 | 1.8-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.8-8.7 | 14.9-12.1 |
| Aces | 8.2 | 9.8 |
| Double faults | 1.7 | 1.5 |
| 1st serve % | 81.2% | 75.2% |
| Break % | 54.9% | 65.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Marat Sharipov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09 | Thomas Fancutt Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/09 | Ilya Ivashka Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 12/09 | Pavel Kotov Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 11/09 | Omar Jasika Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 09/09 | Taro Daniel Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 07/09 | Yosuke Watanuki Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 15/08 | Sean Cuenin M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 14/08 | Alexander Vasilev M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 13/08 | Anton Arzhankin M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 12/08 | Franco Ariel Vazquez M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Lloyd Harris
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09 | Hayato Matsuoka Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 20-18 | W |
| 02/09 | Stefanos Tsitsipas US Open · Hard |
1-3 | 20-25 | L |
| 30/08 | Jack Kennedy US Open · Hard |
3-0 | 18-8 | W |
| 28/08 | Pablo Llamas Ruiz US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 26/08 | Henrique Rocha US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 25/08 | Bernard Tomic US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 23/08 | Sebastian Baez Challenger Cancun · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 22/08 | Vit Kopriva Challenger Cancun · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 20/08 | Darwin Blanch Challenger Cancun · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 19/08 | Laslo Djere Challenger Cancun · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Marat Sharipov vs Lloyd Harris?
Our model gives 61% to Lloyd Harris, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.