Tennis · Challenger Guangzhou · 17/09, 09:00
Prediction: Alexandr Binda vs Fajing Sun
Team pages: Alexandr Binda · Fajing Sun
Prediction summary
Winner
Alexandr Binda
Fajing Sun
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Alexandr Binda
7-3 (W-L)
Fajing Sun
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alexandr Binda 1572 · Fajing Sun 1513
| Alexandr Binda | Fajing Sun | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 31% | 69% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alexandr Binda (rating 1572 vs 1513).
- Alexandr Binda dominates on serve: 7.3 aces and 47.2% break avg.
Statistics
| Alexandr Binda | Fajing Sun | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.7 | 1.2-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-8.9 | 12.7-12 |
| Aces | 7.3 | 4.9 |
| Double faults | 3.8 | 1.5 |
| 1st serve % | 71.8% | 68.9% |
| Break % | 47.2% | 47.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alexandr Binda
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09 | Aoran Wang Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/09 | Kousuke Ogura Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 13/09 | Kaito Uesugi Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 08/09 | Tung-Lin Wu Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 07/09 | Mikalai Haliak Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 06/09 | Cheng-Peng Hsieh Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 10/08 | Khumoyun Sultanov Challenger Astana · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 06/08 | Lucas Poullain Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 04/08 | Mert Naci Turker Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 03/08 | Sidharth Rawat Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Fajing Sun
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09 | Alexis Galarneau Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 08/09 | Jie Cui Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 04/09 | Chun Hsin Tseng Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 03/09 | Hanyi Liu Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 31/08 | Tung-Lin Wu Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 14/08 | Hayato Matsuoka Challenger Astana · Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 12/08 | Semen Pankin Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 11/08 | Zangar Nurlanuly Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 05/08 | Ilia Simakin Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 03/08 | Semen Pankin Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alexandr Binda vs Fajing Sun?
Our model gives 57% to Fajing Sun, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.