Tennis · Challenger Phan Thiet · 17/09, 05:00

Prediction: Martin Borisiouk vs Florent Bax

Team pages: Martin Borisiouk · Florent Bax

Prediction summary
Winner
50% 50%
Martin Borisiouk Florent Bax
Estimated games
22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Martin Borisiouk 5-5 (W-L)
LWWLLWWLWL
Florent Bax 5-5 (W-L)
LWLLWWWLLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Martin Borisiouk 1563 · Florent Bax 1510
Martin BorisioukFlorent Bax
Our model58%42%
Market44%56%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Martin Borisiouk (rating 1563 vs 1510).
  • Martin Borisiouk dominates on serve: 7.8 aces and 40% break avg.

Statistics

Martin BorisioukFlorent Bax
Win %70%50%
Win % · Hard 71% (7) 50% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.6-0.81.4-1.1
Games (G-P)13.2-9.312.2-11.8
Aces7.89.5
Double faults3.81.3
1st serve %83.8%75%
Break %40%36.5%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.5

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Martin Borisiouk

WWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
15/09 Dominik Palan
Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard
2-1 18-14 W
14/09 Dong Ju Kim
Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
08/09 Koki Matsuda
Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard
0-2 11-14 L
07/09 Ethan Cook
Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
06/09 Takuya Kumasaka
Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
09/08 Karan Singh
Challenger Astana · Hard
1-2 13-15 L
07/08 Arnav Vijay Paparkar
M15 Astana
1-2 16-15 L
06/08 Egor Agafonov
M15 Astana
2-0 12-4 W
04/08 Arseniy Trebukhin
M15 Astana
2-0 12-2 W
12/07 Arvid Nordquist
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
2-1 14-11 W

Florent Bax

WWLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
15/09 Thanh Minh Truong
Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
08/09 Maximus Jones
Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard
1-2 12-16 L
05/09 Moerani Bouzige
M15 Nonthaburi · ~Hard
0-2 9-11 L
04/09 Manish Sureshkumar
M15 Nonthaburi · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W
02/09 Ko Suzuki
M15 Nonthaburi · ~Hard
2-0 14-10 W
18/08 Daniil Glinka
Challenger Kingston · Hard
1-2 9-14 L
07/08 Ilia Simakin
Challenger Istanbul · Hard
1-2 11-18 L
05/08 Daniil Ostapenkov
Challenger Istanbul · Hard
2-1 19-14 W
04/08 Arthur Weber
Challenger Istanbul · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
29/07 Gabriel Debru
Challenger Samsun · Hard
1-2 12-15 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Martin Borisiouk vs Florent Bax?

Our model gives 50% to Martin Borisiouk, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.