Tennis · M25 Guiyang · 16/09, 07:00
Prediction: Lachlan Vickery vs Qian Sun
Team pages: Lachlan Vickery · Qian Sun
Prediction summary
Winner
Lachlan Vickery
Qian Sun
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Lachlan Vickery
4-6 (W-L)
Qian Sun
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lachlan Vickery 1475 · Qian Sun 1523
| Lachlan Vickery | Qian Sun | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 21% | 79% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Qian Sun (rating 1475 vs 1523).
Statistics
| Lachlan Vickery | Qian Sun | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (10) | 63% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.3 | 1.4-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 9-10.2 | 13.1-11.4 |
| Aces | 2 | 5.6 |
| Double faults | 3 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 61.4% | 68.6% |
| Break % | 56.2% | 59% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lachlan Vickery
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09 | Geun Jun Kim M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Jilong Huang M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/09 | Hiromasa Koyama M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/09 | Lin Hao-Yu M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 04/06 | Jesse Delaney M15 Harmon · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 02/06 | Ryder Jackson M15 Harmon · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 01/06 | Ryoma Cogan M15 Harmon · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/02 | Liam Branger M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 17/02 | Simone Massellani M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 04/02 | Ewen Lumsden M25 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
Qian Sun
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Yuta Tomida M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/09 | Colin Sinclair M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 04/09 | Miles Jones M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 03/09 | Hiromasa Koyama M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 02/09 | Ammar Faleh Alhogbani M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-9 | W |
| 27/08 | Fumin Jiang M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 26/08 | Petr Bar Biryukov M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 19/08 | Tianhui Zhang M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 13/08 | Yunseong Chung M15 Tianjin |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 12/08 | Yuta Kawahashi M15 Tianjin |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lachlan Vickery vs Qian Sun?
Our model gives 69% to Qian Sun, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.