Tennis · M25 Guiyang · 16/09, 04:00
Prediction: Zhenxiong Dong vs Matthew Shearer
Team pages: Zhenxiong Dong · Matthew Shearer
Prediction summary
Winner
Zhenxiong Dong
Matthew Shearer
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Zhenxiong Dong
4-6 (W-L)
Matthew Shearer
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Zhenxiong Dong 1407 · Matthew Shearer 1530
| Zhenxiong Dong | Matthew Shearer | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 33% | 67% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Matthew Shearer (rating 1407 vs 1530).
- Matthew Shearer is in better form: 60% recent wins.
Statistics
| Zhenxiong Dong | Matthew Shearer | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 20% (10) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.6-1.6 | 1.3-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.6-11.6 | 11.2-10.2 |
| Aces | 2.5 | 4.4 |
| Double faults | 3.2 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 62.5% | 74% |
| Break % | 28.1% | 31.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Zhenxiong Dong
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Lingxi Zhao M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 18/08 | Zhao Zhao M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-10 | L |
| 09/06 | Jaesung Choe M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 03/06 | Tsung-Hao Huang M15 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 02/06 | Alexey Aleshchev M15 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 27/05 | Tianhui Zhang M15 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 26/05 | Shu Muto M15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 22/04 | Luca Castelnuovo M25 Luzhou · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 21/04 | Qian Sun M25 Luzhou · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 14/04 | Colin Sinclair M25 Anning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Matthew Shearer
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09 | Yaoyu Yang M25 Guiyang |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/09 | Jack Bruce-Smith M15 Bali |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 07/09 | Kareem Abdul Hakim M15 Bali |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 02/09 | Stefan Storch M15 Bali |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 31/08 | Andras Necz M15 Bali |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 30/08 | Raphael Rio Suryana M15 Bali |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 13/08 | Matthew Dellavedova M15 Tianjin |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 12/08 | Kai Thompson M15 Tianjin |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 11/08 | Liang Liang M15 Tianjin |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 21/07 | Ymerali Ibraimi M15 Brisbane |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Zhenxiong Dong vs Matthew Shearer?
Our model gives 53% to Matthew Shearer, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.