Tennis · Challenger Phan Thiet · 16/09, 05:00
Prediction: Hunter Heck vs Luka Pavlovic
Team pages: Hunter Heck · Luka Pavlovic
Prediction summary
Winner
Hunter Heck
Luka Pavlovic
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Hunter Heck
7-3 (W-L)
Luka Pavlovic
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hunter Heck 1517 · Luka Pavlovic 1566
| Hunter Heck | Luka Pavlovic | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 23% | 77% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Luka Pavlovic (rating 1517 vs 1566).
- Luka Pavlovic dominates on serve: 10.1 aces and 45.4% break avg.
- Note: Luka Pavlovic makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Hunter Heck | Luka Pavlovic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 78% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1 | 1.5-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.7-8.8 | 13.3-10.9 |
| Aces | 3 | 10.1 |
| Double faults | 3.5 | 4 |
| 1st serve % | 64% | 79.2% |
| Break % | 11% | 45.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hunter Heck
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09 | Khumoyun Sultanov Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/09 | S D Prajwal Dev Challenger Phan Thiet Qual · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/09 | Ethan Cook Challenger Phan Thiet Qual · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 07/09 | Aditya Vishal Balsekar Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 06/09 | Nam Nguyen Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 22/08 | Mees Rottgering ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 16/08 | Andrew Fenty Challenger Kingston · Hard |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 03/08 | Kenta Miyoshi Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 02/08 | Aziz Ouakaa Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/07 | Melih Anavatan Challenger Samsun · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
Luka Pavlovic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09 | Ha Minh Duc Vu Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 26/08 | Jacob Fearnley US Open · Hard |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 24/08 | Juan Pablo Varillas US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 17/08 | Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves Challenger Cancun · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 28/07 | Vilius Gaubas Challenger San Marino · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 26/07 | Matteo Martineau Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 25/07 | Keegan Smith Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 24/07 | Mert Alkaya Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 22/07 | Yi Zhou Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 21/07 | Takuya Kumasaka Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hunter Heck vs Luka Pavlovic?
Our model gives 68% to Luka Pavlovic, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.