Prediction: Nagi Hanatani vs Amelia Rajecki
Team pages: Nagi Hanatani · Amelia Rajecki
Prediction summary
Winner
Nagi Hanatani
Amelia Rajecki
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Nagi Hanatani
3-7 (W-L)
Amelia Rajecki
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nagi Hanatani 1453 · Amelia Rajecki 1570
| Nagi Hanatani | Amelia Rajecki | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 66% |
| Market | 12% | 88% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Amelia Rajecki (rating 1453 vs 1570).
- Amelia Rajecki dominates on serve: 7 aces and 54.1% break avg.
- Amelia Rajecki is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Nagi Hanatani makes many double faults (5.7/match).
- Note: Amelia Rajecki makes many double faults (6.6/match).
Statistics
| Nagi Hanatani | Amelia Rajecki | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 100% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.5 | 1.7-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 10-11.9 | 13.1-9.7 |
| Aces | 0.2 | 7 |
| Double faults | 5.7 | 6.6 |
| 1st serve % | 56.4% | 73.9% |
| Break % | 48.4% | 54.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nagi Hanatani
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09 | Anri Nagata W35 Kyoto |
2-1 | 11-7 | W |
| 08/09 | Kisa Yoshioka W15 Yeongwol |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 02/09 | Soo Ha Jang W15 Yeongwol |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 02/08 | Leticia Solakov W75 Leipzig |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 29/07 | Katerina Tsygourova W75 Hechingen |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Carolin Raschdorf W75 Hechingen |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 27/07 | Maria Toma W75 Hechingen |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 19/07 | Sophia Bergqvist W35 Gentofte |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Clara Vlasselaer W50 Nottingham |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 13/07 | Aleksandra Mateva W50 Nottingham |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Amelia Rajecki
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Maria Toma W50 Leiria |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 09/08 | Ella Mcdonald W35 Roehampton · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 07/08 | Brooke Black W35 Roehampton · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 06/08 | Hikaru Sato W35 Roehampton · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 05/08 | Sayaka Ishii W35 Roehampton · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 02/08 | Vendula Valdmannova W50 Dublin |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 01/08 | Viktoria Hruncakova W50 Dublin |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 31/07 | Britt Du Pree W50 Dublin |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 30/07 | Alicia Dudeney W50 Dublin |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 29/07 | Eliz Maloney W50 Dublin |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nagi Hanatani vs Amelia Rajecki?
Our model gives 78% to Amelia Rajecki, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.