Tennis · Challenger Guangzhou · 16/09, 09:30
Prediction: Colin Sinclair vs Rio Noguchi
Team pages: Colin Sinclair · Rio Noguchi
Prediction summary
Winner
Colin Sinclair
Rio Noguchi
Estimated games
24.3
Recent form · 10 last
Colin Sinclair
6-4 (W-L)
Rio Noguchi
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Colin Sinclair
0–2
Rio Noguchi
(2 last)
- 03 Oct0-2 4-12L
- 07 Mar1-2 12-18L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Colin Sinclair 1526 · Rio Noguchi 1510
| Colin Sinclair | Rio Noguchi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 22% | 78% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Colin Sinclair 0–2 Rio Noguchi (2).
Statistics
| Colin Sinclair | Rio Noguchi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.3 | 1.1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.6-13.5 | 11.9-12 |
| Aces | 10.7 | 1.8 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 1 |
| 1st serve % | 78% | 68.8% |
| Break % | 39.8% | 52.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.3
H2H · Colin Sinclair 0 – 2 Rio Noguchi (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Colin Sinclair 0–2 Rio Noguchi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10/24 ITF M25 Cairns | 0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 07/03/19 ITF M25 Mildura | 1-2 | 12-18 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Colin Sinclair
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/09 | Linang Xiao Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 14-16 | W |
| 09/09 | Boxiong Zhang M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 05/09 | Qian Sun M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 04/09 | Zijiang Yang M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 03/09 | Shaoyun Liu M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 02/09 | Linang Xiao M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 11/08 | Takuya Kumasaka Challenger Astana · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 10/08 | Damir Zhalgasbay Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 09/08 | Alibek Kachmazov Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 03/08 | Digvijay Pratap Singh Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Rio Noguchi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/09 | Kaichi Uchida Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 09/09 | Omar Jasika Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 07/09 | Rigele Te Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 25/08 | Bu Yunchaokete US Open · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 19/08 | Alan Magadan Challenger Cancun · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 18/08 | Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes Challenger Cancun · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 24/07 | Charles Broom Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/07 | Keegan Rice Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 21/07 | Braden Shick Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 18/07 | Mark Lajal Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Colin Sinclair vs Rio Noguchi?
Our model gives 65% to Rio Noguchi, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.