Tennis · M25 Guiyang · 15/09, 05:30
Prediction: Nikolai Barsukov vs Yuquan Jin
Team pages: Nikolai Barsukov · Yuquan Jin
Prediction summary
Winner
Nikolai Barsukov
Yuquan Jin
Estimated games
22.6
Recent form · 10 last
Nikolai Barsukov
5-5 (W-L)
Yuquan Jin
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nikolai Barsukov 1478 · Yuquan Jin 1478
| Nikolai Barsukov | Yuquan Jin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 79% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Yuquan Jin dominates on serve: 6.2 aces and 43.7% break avg.
- Note: Yuquan Jin makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Nikolai Barsukov | Yuquan Jin | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 44% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 1.2-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-12.9 | 10.4-11.2 |
| Aces | 4.1 | 6.2 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 4.3 |
| 1st serve % | 61.7% | 69.3% |
| Break % | 41.9% | 43.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nikolai Barsukov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09 | Romain Faucon M25 Meerbusch |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/09 | Christian Djonov M25 Meerbusch |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 28/08 | Jakub Filip M15 Allershausen |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 27/08 | Thilo Behrmann M15 Allershausen |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 18/08 | David Fix M25 Ueberlingen |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 09/08 | Niklas Guttau Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 03/08 | Juan Bautista Torres Challenger Hagen · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 02/08 | Mika Petkovic Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 31/07 | Filip Krolo M25 Wetzlar |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Ivan Gakhov M25 Wetzlar |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
Yuquan Jin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/09 | Geun Jun Kim M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 10/09 | Stefan Vujic M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 09/09 | Xirui Han M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 02/09 | Xiaoyin Yang M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 18/08 | Xin Zhou M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-9 | L |
| 11/08 | Adrian Arcon M15 Tianjin |
0-1 | 1-6 | L |
| 17/07 | Asahi Harazaki M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-9 | L |
| 16/07 | Duckhee Lee M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 15/07 | Zicong Wang M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 07/07 | Xing Dao Chen M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-11 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nikolai Barsukov vs Yuquan Jin?
Our model gives 66% to Nikolai Barsukov, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.