Tennis · Challenger Guangzhou · 15/09, 12:30
Prediction: Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong vs Sergey Fomin
Team pages: Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong · Sergey Fomin
Prediction summary
Winner
Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong
Sergey Fomin
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong
6-4 (W-L)
Sergey Fomin
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong
0–1
Sergey Fomin
(1 last)
- 31 Oct1-2 14-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong 1533 · Sergey Fomin 1474
| Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong | Sergey Fomin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 44% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong (rating 1533 vs 1474).
- Head-to-head: Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong 0–1 Sergey Fomin (1).
- Note: Sergey Fomin makes many double faults (4.5/match).
Statistics
| Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong | Sergey Fomin | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 29% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 1.2-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-9.7 | 11.7-11.3 |
| Aces | 3.9 | 5.7 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 4.5 |
| 1st serve % | 72.4% | 73.5% |
| Break % | 61.1% | 46.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22
H2H · Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong 0 – 1 Sergey Fomin (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong 0–1 Sergey Fomin
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10/25 ITF M25 Qian Daohu | 1-2 | 14-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Ye Hongyu Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 08/09 | Omar Jasika Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 06/09 | Takeru Yuzuki Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 05/09 | Ilia Simakin Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 03/09 | Koki Matsuda Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/09 | Petr Bar Biryukov Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 31/08 | Dominik Palan Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 10/08 | Erik Arutiunian Challenger Astana · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 09/08 | Yerassyl Yerdilda Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 20/07 | Dominik Palan Challenger Segovia · Hard |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
Sergey Fomin
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/09 | Yi Zhou Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 01/09 | Khumoyun Sultanov Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 26/08 | Xirui Han M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 15/08 | Mohamed Aziz Dougaz Challenger Astana · Hard |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 14/08 | Masamichi Imamura Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 13/08 | Kasidit Samrej Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/07 | Giuseppe La Vela Challenger Bonn · Clay |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 21/07 | Yanki Erel Challenger Segovia · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 16/07 | Alberto Lim Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/07 | Bill Chan Davis Cup |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong vs Sergey Fomin?
Our model gives 51% to Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.