Tennis · Challenger Guangzhou · 15/09, 12:30
Prediction: Federico Cina vs James Trotter
Team pages: Federico Cina · James Trotter
Prediction summary
Winner
Federico Cina
James Trotter
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Federico Cina
6-4 (W-L)
James Trotter
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Federico Cina 1507 · James Trotter 1598
| Federico Cina | James Trotter | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 63% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours James Trotter (rating 1507 vs 1598).
- James Trotter dominates on serve: 7.1 aces and 54.7% break avg.
- James Trotter is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Federico Cina | James Trotter | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (6) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.4 | 1.7-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.1-13.2 | 11.6-7.7 |
| Aces | 6.5 | 7.1 |
| Double faults | 3.8 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 71.8% | 80.7% |
| Break % | 35.9% | 54.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Federico Cina
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08 | Alex Michelsen US Open · Hard |
0-3 | 5-18 | L |
| 28/08 | Bu Yunchaokete US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 27/08 | Hugo Dellien US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 13/08 | Tristan Schoolkate Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 05/08 | Abedallah Shelbayh Challenger Lexington · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 03/08 | Elias Ymer Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 20/07 | Facundo Diaz Acosta ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 19/07 | Lorenzo Giustino ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/07 | Daniel Michalski ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 14/07 | Quentin Halys ATP Gstaad · Clay |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
James Trotter
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/09 | Thomas Fancutt Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/09 | Liu Ziyu Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 02/09 | Yu Hsiou Hsu Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 31/08 | Jie Cui Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 29/07 | Tyler Zink Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 28/07 | Hayato Matsuoka Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 28/07 | Mikael Arseneault Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 21/07 | Clement Chidekh Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 20/07 | Kokoro Isomura Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 20/07 | Guillaume Dalmasso Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Federico Cina vs James Trotter?
Our model gives 56% to Federico Cina, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.