Prediction: Mutsumi Uemura vs Miyu Nakashima
Team pages: Mutsumi Uemura · Miyu Nakashima
Prediction summary
Winner
Mutsumi Uemura
Miyu Nakashima
Estimated games
20
Recent form · 10 last
Mutsumi Uemura
6-4 (W-L)
Miyu Nakashima
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mutsumi Uemura 1536 · Miyu Nakashima 1565
| Mutsumi Uemura | Miyu Nakashima | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 79% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Mutsumi Uemura | Miyu Nakashima | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 78% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 1.4-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.2-9.6 | 10.3-7.7 |
| Aces | 1 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 61.1% | 56.4% |
| Break % | 50.2% | 61.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mutsumi Uemura
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/09 | Ha Eum Lee W15 Yeongwol |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Onyu Choi W15 Yeongwol |
2-1 | 19-13 | W |
| 01/09 | Dabin Kim W15 Yeongwol |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 02/08 | Amy Stevens W15 Brisbane |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 01/08 | Chia Yi Tsao W15 Brisbane |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 31/07 | Sarah Mildren W15 Brisbane |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 30/07 | Lily Taylor W15 Brisbane |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 29/07 | Ava Beck W15 Brisbane |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/07 | Natsuki Yoshimoto W15 Brisbane |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 22/07 | Rianna Alame W15 Brisbane |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Miyu Nakashima
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/09 | Chenting Zhu W15 Yeongwol |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/03 | Honoka Uchiyama UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 12/03 | Michiru Furuya UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 11/03 | Miyu Kusakabe UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 09/03 | Aoi Yoshida UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 07/03 | Mua Shigeta UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 06/03 | Haruka Nishimura UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/03 | Junri Namigata UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/03 | Minori Natsuka UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 04/03 | Yuna Ohashi UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mutsumi Uemura vs Miyu Nakashima?
Our model gives 64% to Mutsumi Uemura, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.