Tennis · Challenger Phan Thiet · 15/09, 08:00
Prediction: Moise Kouame vs Ryuki Matsuda
Team pages: Moise Kouame · Ryuki Matsuda
Prediction summary
Winner
Moise Kouame
Ryuki Matsuda
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Moise Kouame
4-6 (W-L)
Ryuki Matsuda
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Moise Kouame 1448 · Ryuki Matsuda 1542
| Moise Kouame | Ryuki Matsuda | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 63% |
| Market | 83% | 17% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ryuki Matsuda (rating 1448 vs 1542).
- Ryuki Matsuda is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Moise Kouame makes many double faults (4.7/match).
Statistics
| Moise Kouame | Ryuki Matsuda | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (6) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.7 | 1.2-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.1-13.2 | 9.4-8.7 |
| Aces | 6 | 2.9 |
| Double faults | 4.7 | 1.1 |
| 1st serve % | 70.1% | 65.8% |
| Break % | 32.8% | 28.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Moise Kouame
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/09 | Kenta Miyoshi Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 25/08 | Nishesh Basavareddy US Open · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 22/08 | Moez Echargui Challenger Cancun · Hard |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 21/08 | Roman Andres Burruchaga Challenger Cancun · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/08 | Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves Challenger Cancun · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/07 | Edward Winter ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Nuno Borges ATP Bastad · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 06/07 | Max Hans Rehberg Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 20/06 | Batsomi Marobela Davis Cup |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 30/05 | Alejandro Tabilo French Open · Clay |
1-3 | 19-23 | L |
Ryuki Matsuda
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/09 | Taiyo Yamanaka Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 13/09 | Minh Phat Nguyen Challenger Phan Thiet Qual · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/09 | Yu Tanaka M25 Sapporo |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 06/09 | Naoki Nakagawa M25 Urayasu |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 05/09 | Yanki Erel M25 Urayasu |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 04/09 | Shunsuke Mitsui M25 Urayasu |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/09 | Taisei Ichikawa M25 Urayasu |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 02/09 | Hyeon Chung M25 Urayasu |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 26/08 | Kuan-Shou Chen M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 21/08 | Yu Hsiou Hsu M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Moise Kouame vs Ryuki Matsuda?
Our model gives 62% to Moise Kouame, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.