Prediction: Hikaru Sato vs Natsuki Yoshimoto
Team pages: Hikaru Sato · Natsuki Yoshimoto
Prediction summary
Winner
Hikaru Sato
Natsuki Yoshimoto
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Hikaru Sato
5-5 (W-L)
Natsuki Yoshimoto
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Hikaru Sato
0–1
Natsuki Yoshimoto
(1 last)
- 24 Apr1-2 10-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hikaru Sato 1485 · Natsuki Yoshimoto 1508
| Hikaru Sato | Natsuki Yoshimoto | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Hikaru Sato 0–1 Natsuki Yoshimoto (1).
Statistics
| Hikaru Sato | Natsuki Yoshimoto | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (2) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.3 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 13-12.2 | 10.3-9.5 |
| Aces | 2.5 | 0.3 |
| Double faults | 3.9 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 64.3% | 63.2% |
| Break % | 45.5% | 60.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
H2H · Hikaru Sato 0 – 1 Natsuki Yoshimoto (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Hikaru Sato 0–1 Natsuki Yoshimoto
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/04/26 W35 Miyazaki | 1-2 | 10-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hikaru Sato
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09 | Kayo Nishimura W50 Guiyang |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 06/09 | Yuno Kitahara W50 Guiyang |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 31/08 | Jiaqi Wang W75 Tianjin |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 30/08 | Yingqun Sun W75 Tianjin |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 12/08 | Julia Avdeeva W35 Aldershot |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Indianna Spink W35 Aldershot |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 06/08 | Amelia Rajecki W35 Roehampton · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 05/08 | Mao Mushika W35 Roehampton · ~Hard |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 30/07 | Sayaka Ishii W35 Aldershot |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 28/07 | Mio Mushika W35 Aldershot |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Natsuki Yoshimoto
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/08 | Eva Marie Desvignes W15 Tianjin |
0-2 | 6-10 | L |
| 19/08 | Eunyeong Park W15 Tianjin |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 11/08 | Yushan Shao W15 Tianjin |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 29/07 | Lily Taylor W15 Brisbane |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/07 | Destanee Aiava W15 Brisbane |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/07 | I Wen Wan W15 Brisbane |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 23/07 | Mutsumi Uemura W15 Brisbane |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 21/07 | Mana Kawamura W15 Brisbane |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/07 | Belle Thompson W15 Brisbane |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 17/07 | Lily Taylor W15 Brisbane |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hikaru Sato vs Natsuki Yoshimoto?
Our model gives 51% to Natsuki Yoshimoto, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.