Prediction: Eri Shimizu vs Michika Ozeki
Team pages: Eri Shimizu · Michika Ozeki
Prediction summary
Winner
Eri Shimizu
Michika Ozeki
Estimated games
22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Eri Shimizu
3-7 (W-L)
Michika Ozeki
2-8 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Eri Shimizu
2–1
Michika Ozeki
(3 last)
- 16 Mar2-0 13-8W
- 10 May2-0 12-7W
- 14 Jun1-2 10-16L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Eri Shimizu 1512 · Michika Ozeki 1407
| Eri Shimizu | Michika Ozeki | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 65% | 35% |
| Market | 88% | 12% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Eri Shimizu (rating 1512 vs 1407).
- Eri Shimizu is in better form: 50% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Eri Shimizu 2–1 Michika Ozeki (3).
Statistics
| Eri Shimizu | Michika Ozeki | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 10% |
| Win % · Hard | 57% (7) | 17% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.3 | 0.7-1.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.3-12 | 9.6-13.1 |
| Aces | 0.6 | 0.5 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 3.9 |
| 1st serve % | 62.6% | 52.4% |
| Break % | 48.3% | 49.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.5
H2H · Eri Shimizu 2 – 1 Michika Ozeki (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Eri Shimizu 2–1 Michika Ozeki
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/03/26 W75 Kofu | 2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 10/05/23 ITF W60 Fukuoka | 2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/06/22 ITF W15 Chiang Rai | 1-2 | 10-16 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Eri Shimizu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09 | Sijia Wei W50 Guiyang |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 06/09 | Patcharin Cheapchandej W50 Guiyang |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 30/08 | Valeria Savinykh W75 Tianjin |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 18/06 | Misaki Matsuda W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Nagi Hanatani W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 12/06 | Mayuka Aikawa W15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 11/06 | Nanari Katsumi W15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 10/06 | Mutsumi Uemura W15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 22/05 | Yuki Naito W100 Takasaki · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 20/05 | Han Shi W100 Takasaki · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
Michika Ozeki
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/09 | Ha Eum Lee W15 Yeongwol |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Eun Ji Lee W15 Yeongwol |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 11/08 | Duanrui Gao W15 Tianjin |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 04/08 | Yihan Qu W15 Tianjin |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Donna Le Roux W15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 09/07 | Jahnie Van Zyl W35 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 07/07 | Milla Kotze W35 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 01/07 | Marilouise Van Zyl W15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
1-2 | 16-14 | L |
| 07/06 | Yujia Huang W100 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 31/05 | Jiangxue Han W50 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Eri Shimizu vs Michika Ozeki?
Our model gives 77% to Eri Shimizu, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.