Tennis · Challenger Phan Thiet · 15/09, 06:30

Prediction: Khumoyun Sultanov vs Hunter Heck

Team pages: Khumoyun Sultanov · Hunter Heck

Prediction summary
Winner
66% 34%
Khumoyun Sultanov Hunter Heck
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Khumoyun Sultanov 7-3 (W-L)
LWWWWWLWLW
Hunter Heck 7-3 (W-L)
WWWLWLWLWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Khumoyun Sultanov 1548 · Hunter Heck 1486
Khumoyun SultanovHunter Heck
Our model59%41%
Market72%28%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Khumoyun Sultanov (rating 1548 vs 1486).
  • Khumoyun Sultanov is in better form: 70% recent wins.

Statistics

Khumoyun SultanovHunter Heck
Win %70%40%
Win % · Hard 67% (9) 40% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.6-0.81.1-1.2
Games (G-P)13.2-10.59.6-9.5
Aces5.94.7
Double faults2.63.7
1st serve %72.7%65%
Break %43.2%28%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.2

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Khumoyun Sultanov

WWWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
09/09 Enzo Aguiard
Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard
1-2 15-15 L
03/09 Enzo Aguiard
Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard
0-2 10-13 L
01/09 Sergey Fomin
Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard
2-0 13-5 W
31/08 Joshua Charlton
Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard
2-1 15-13 W
30/08 Fumin Jiang
Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
15/08 Hayato Matsuoka
Challenger Astana · Hard
1-2 13-15 L
14/08 Mert Alkaya
Challenger Astana · Hard
2-0 13-9 W
12/08 Lucio Ratti
Challenger Astana · Hard
2-0 13-9 W
10/08 Alexandr Binda
Challenger Astana · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
27/07 Aleksandr Braynin
Challenger Liberec · Clay
2-1 16-14 W

Hunter Heck

LWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
14/09 S D Prajwal Dev
Challenger Phan Thiet Qual · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
13/09 Ethan Cook
Challenger Phan Thiet Qual · Hard
2-0 12-4 W
07/09 Aditya Vishal Balsekar
Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard
0-2 4-12 L
06/09 Nam Nguyen
Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard
2-0 12-2 W
22/08 Mees Rottgering
ATP Winston-Salem · Hard
0-2 1-12 L
16/08 Andrew Fenty
Challenger Kingston · Hard
1-2 13-14 L
03/08 Kenta Miyoshi
Challenger Istanbul · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
02/08 Aziz Ouakaa
Challenger Istanbul · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
26/07 Melih Anavatan
Challenger Samsun · Hard
1-2 13-16 L
12/07 Kokoro Isomura
Challenger Granby · Hard
1-2 11-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Khumoyun Sultanov vs Hunter Heck?

Our model gives 66% to Khumoyun Sultanov, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.