Tennis · Challenger Phan Thiet · 15/09, 06:30
Prediction: Dominik Palan vs Martin Borisiouk
Team pages: Dominik Palan · Martin Borisiouk
Prediction summary
Winner
Dominik Palan
Martin Borisiouk
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Dominik Palan
4-6 (W-L)
Martin Borisiouk
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Dominik Palan
0–1
Martin Borisiouk
(1 last)
- 06 Aug1-2 17-18L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Dominik Palan 1471 · Martin Borisiouk 1559
| Dominik Palan | Martin Borisiouk | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 62% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Martin Borisiouk (rating 1471 vs 1559).
- Martin Borisiouk is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Dominik Palan 0–1 Martin Borisiouk (1).
- Note: Dominik Palan makes many double faults (5.4/match).
Statistics
| Dominik Palan | Martin Borisiouk | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 44% (9) | 71% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.4 | 1.6-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-12.5 | 12.7-8.7 |
| Aces | 5.8 | 9.2 |
| Double faults | 5.4 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 73.3% | 86% |
| Break % | 39.6% | 36.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
H2H · Dominik Palan 0 – 1 Martin Borisiouk (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Dominik Palan 0–1 Martin Borisiouk
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/08/25 M15 Astana | 1-2 | 17-18 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dominik Palan
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09 | Hiroki Moriya Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 31/08 | Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/08 | Ji Sung Nam Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 10/08 | Semen Pankin Challenger Astana · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Pavlos Tsitsipas M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 23/07 | Yanki Erel Challenger Segovia · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 21/07 | Max Basing Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 20/07 | Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 19/07 | Bernardo Munk Mesa Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 16/07 | Izan Almazan Valiente Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Martin Borisiouk
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/09 | Dong Ju Kim Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 08/09 | Koki Matsuda Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 07/09 | Ethan Cook Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/09 | Takuya Kumasaka Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/08 | Karan Singh Challenger Astana · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 07/08 | Arnav Vijay Paparkar M15 Astana |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 06/08 | Egor Agafonov M15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 04/08 | Arseniy Trebukhin M15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 12/07 | Arvid Nordquist M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 11/07 | Hoyoung Roh M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dominik Palan vs Martin Borisiouk?
Our model gives 65% to Martin Borisiouk, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.