Tennis · Challenger Guangzhou · 14/09, 11:30
Prediction: James Trotter vs Thomas Fancutt
Team pages: James Trotter · Thomas Fancutt
Prediction summary
Winner
James Trotter
Thomas Fancutt
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
James Trotter
8-2 (W-L)
Thomas Fancutt
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · James Trotter 1571 · Thomas Fancutt 1545
| James Trotter | Thomas Fancutt | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 73% | 27% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- James Trotter dominates on serve: 6.9 aces and 59.6% break avg.
- Thomas Fancutt dominates on serve: 7.9 aces and 58.3% break avg.
Statistics
| James Trotter | Thomas Fancutt | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 63% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.7 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-8.5 | 11.8-10.4 |
| Aces | 6.9 | 7.9 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 80.9% | 79.9% |
| Break % | 59.6% | 58.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
James Trotter
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Liu Ziyu Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 02/09 | Yu Hsiou Hsu Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 31/08 | Jie Cui Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 29/07 | Tyler Zink Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 28/07 | Hayato Matsuoka Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 28/07 | Mikael Arseneault Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 21/07 | Clement Chidekh Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 20/07 | Kokoro Isomura Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 20/07 | Guillaume Dalmasso Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 15/07 | Liam Draxl Challenger Granby · Hard |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
Thomas Fancutt
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Zijiang Yang Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 26/08 | Luis Guto Miguel Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/08 | Karl Poling Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 24/08 | Bruno Kuzuhara Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 23/08 | Enmanuel Munoz Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 13/08 | Karl Poling M25 East Lansing |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 11/08 | Lincoln Battle M25 East Lansing |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/07 | Daniel Milavsky Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 14/07 | Jie Cui Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 13/07 | Hiroki Moriya Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in James Trotter vs Thomas Fancutt?
Our model gives 64% to James Trotter, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.