Tennis · Challenger Guangzhou · 14/09, 04:00
Prediction: Alexandr Binda vs Kousuke Ogura
Team pages: Alexandr Binda · Kousuke Ogura
Prediction summary
Winner
Alexandr Binda
Kousuke Ogura
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Alexandr Binda
6-4 (W-L)
Kousuke Ogura
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Alexandr Binda
0–1
Kousuke Ogura
(1 last)
- 14 Jul0-2 8-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alexandr Binda 1531 · Kousuke Ogura 1503
| Alexandr Binda | Kousuke Ogura | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 69% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Alexandr Binda 0–1 Kousuke Ogura (1).
- Note: Alexandr Binda makes many double faults (4.8/match).
Statistics
| Alexandr Binda | Kousuke Ogura | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-0.8 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.6-8.8 | 10.1-11.6 |
| Aces | 5.2 | 2 |
| Double faults | 4.8 | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | 66.6% | 63.6% |
| Break % | 46% | 47% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
H2H · Alexandr Binda 0 – 1 Kousuke Ogura (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Alexandr Binda 0–1 Kousuke Ogura
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07/21 M15 Monastir | 0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alexandr Binda
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Kaito Uesugi Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 08/09 | Tung-Lin Wu Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 07/09 | Mikalai Haliak Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 06/09 | Cheng-Peng Hsieh Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 10/08 | Khumoyun Sultanov Challenger Astana · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 06/08 | Lucas Poullain Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 04/08 | Mert Naci Turker Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 03/08 | Sidharth Rawat Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/08 | S Mert Ozdemir Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 27/07 | Dimitar Kuzmanov Challenger Samsun · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Kousuke Ogura
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Daisuke Sumizawa Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 10/09 | Seong Chan Hong M25 Sapporo |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 09/09 | Robin Catry M25 Sapporo |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 02/09 | Yanki Erel M25 Urayasu |
1-2 | 9-14 | L |
| 26/08 | Omar Jasika M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 25/08 | Tomohiro Masabayashi M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-1 | 10-9 | W |
| 20/08 | Hiroki Moriya M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/08 | Omar Jasika M15 Tianjin |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 15/08 | Matthew Dellavedova M15 Tianjin |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 14/08 | Duckhee Lee M15 Tianjin |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alexandr Binda vs Kousuke Ogura?
Our model gives 62% to Alexandr Binda, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.