Tennis · Challenger Phan Thiet · 14/09, 06:30
Prediction: Timofei Derepasko vs Taisei Ichikawa
Team pages: Timofei Derepasko · Taisei Ichikawa
Prediction summary
Winner
Timofei Derepasko
Taisei Ichikawa
Estimated games
19.6
Recent form · 10 last
Timofei Derepasko
6-4 (W-L)
Taisei Ichikawa
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Timofei Derepasko 1543 · Taisei Ichikawa 1509
| Timofei Derepasko | Taisei Ichikawa | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 58% | 42% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Timofei Derepasko | Taisei Ichikawa | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (5) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-0.9 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.7-8.2 | 9.7-10.4 |
| Aces | 2.6 | 4 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 70.4% | 61.9% |
| Break % | 50.4% | 44.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Timofei Derepasko
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Stefan Storch Challenger Phan Thiet Qual · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 10/09 | Cruz Hewitt Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Sam Ryan Ziegann Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 07/09 | Taiyo Yamanaka Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 06/09 | Minhthien Nguyen Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 21/08 | Dimitar Kisimov M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 20/08 | Alessandro Bellifemine M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 19/08 | Egor Shcherbakov M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 12/08 | Sean Cuenin M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 22/07 | Loan Lestir M15 Rognac |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Taisei Ichikawa
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Nikita Ianin Challenger Phan Thiet Qual · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 07/09 | Benjamin O'Connell Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 06/09 | Noritaka Koizumi Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/09 | Ryuki Matsuda M25 Urayasu |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 01/09 | Jerry Roddick M25 Urayasu |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 19/08 | Tung-Lin Wu M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Petr Bar Biryukov Challenger Astana · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 10/08 | Karan Singh Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 09/08 | Hyeon Chung Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 29/07 | Ryuki Matsuda M15 Bali |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Timofei Derepasko vs Taisei Ichikawa?
Our model gives 56% to Timofei Derepasko, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.