Tennis · Challenger Phan Thiet · 14/09, 06:30
Prediction: Taiyo Yamanaka vs Ryuki Matsuda
Team pages: Taiyo Yamanaka · Ryuki Matsuda
Prediction summary
Winner
Taiyo Yamanaka
Ryuki Matsuda
Estimated games
20.1
Recent form · 10 last
Taiyo Yamanaka
5-5 (W-L)
Ryuki Matsuda
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Taiyo Yamanaka
1–2
Ryuki Matsuda
(3 last)
- 06 Jun0-2 7-12L
- 02 Mar0-2 2-12L
- 16 Feb2-0 12-5W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Taiyo Yamanaka 1527 · Ryuki Matsuda 1523
| Taiyo Yamanaka | Ryuki Matsuda | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 38% | 63% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Taiyo Yamanaka 1–2 Ryuki Matsuda (3).
Statistics
| Taiyo Yamanaka | Ryuki Matsuda | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (6) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-0.9 | 1.2-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.9-9.5 | 9.5-8.9 |
| Aces | 3.6 | 2.8 |
| Double faults | 1.7 | 1.6 |
| 1st serve % | 70.6% | 66.4% |
| Break % | 26.6% | 29.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.1
H2H · Taiyo Yamanaka 1 – 2 Ryuki Matsuda (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Taiyo Yamanaka 1–2 Ryuki Matsuda
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/06/24 M15 Harmon | 0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 02/03/23 M15 Monastir | 0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 16/02/23 M15 Monastir | 2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Taiyo Yamanaka
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Egor Agafonov Challenger Phan Thiet Qual · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 07/09 | Timofei Derepasko Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 06/09 | Nikita Ianin Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 13/08 | Shinji Hazawa M15 Tianjin |
0-2 | 2-8 | L |
| 11/08 | Weiyi Kong M15 Tianjin |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/08 | Shunsuke Mitsui M15 Astana |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 06/08 | Sergey Petrov M15 Astana |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 10/07 | Matthew Dellavedova M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 09/07 | Hikaru Shiraishi M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 08/07 | Ren Nakamura M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Ryuki Matsuda
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Minh Phat Nguyen Challenger Phan Thiet Qual · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/09 | Yu Tanaka M25 Sapporo |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 06/09 | Naoki Nakagawa M25 Urayasu |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 05/09 | Yanki Erel M25 Urayasu |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 04/09 | Shunsuke Mitsui M25 Urayasu |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/09 | Taisei Ichikawa M25 Urayasu |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 02/09 | Hyeon Chung M25 Urayasu |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 26/08 | Kuan-Shou Chen M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 21/08 | Yu Hsiou Hsu M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 20/08 | Omar Jasika M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Taiyo Yamanaka vs Ryuki Matsuda?
Our model gives 57% to Ryuki Matsuda, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.