Tennis · Challenger Phan Thiet · 15/09, 05:00
Prediction: Ha Minh Duc Vu vs Luka Pavlovic
Team pages: Ha Minh Duc Vu · Luka Pavlovic
Prediction summary
Winner
Ha Minh Duc Vu
Luka Pavlovic
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Ha Minh Duc Vu
4-6 (W-L)
Luka Pavlovic
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ha Minh Duc Vu 1479 · Luka Pavlovic 1538
| Ha Minh Duc Vu | Luka Pavlovic | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 7% | 93% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Luka Pavlovic (rating 1479 vs 1538).
- Luka Pavlovic dominates on serve: 10 aces and 44.2% break avg.
- Note: Luka Pavlovic makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Ha Minh Duc Vu | Luka Pavlovic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (4) | 67% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.4 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.9-10.6 | 12.8-11.4 |
| Aces | 0.3 | 10 |
| Double faults | 3.2 | 4.3 |
| 1st serve % | 55.7% | 78.3% |
| Break % | 28.8% | 44.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ha Minh Duc Vu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09 | Arjun Mehrotra M15 Bali |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 03/09 | Leo Borg M15 Bali |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 18/07 | Amir Milushev Davis Cup |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 17/07 | Imran Daniel Abdul Hazli Davis Cup |
2-1 | 18-10 | W |
| 16/07 | Ali Yazdani Davis Cup |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Ammar Faleh Alhogbani Davis Cup |
1-2 | 9-14 | L |
| 09/07 | Taichi Wakamatsu UTR Pro Phan Thiet · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Eita Suzuki UTR Pro Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 07/07 | Jack Bruce-Smith UTR Pro Phan Thiet · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 06/07 | Deep Munim UTR Pro Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
Luka Pavlovic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Jacob Fearnley US Open · Hard |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 24/08 | Juan Pablo Varillas US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 17/08 | Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves Challenger Cancun · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 28/07 | Vilius Gaubas Challenger San Marino · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 26/07 | Matteo Martineau Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 25/07 | Keegan Smith Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 24/07 | Mert Alkaya Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 22/07 | Yi Zhou Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 21/07 | Takuya Kumasaka Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 14/07 | Yanki Erel Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ha Minh Duc Vu vs Luka Pavlovic?
Our model gives 77% to Luka Pavlovic, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.