Tennis · Challenger Phan Thiet · 15/09, 05:00
Prediction: Yuta Shimizu vs Philip Sekulic
Team pages: Yuta Shimizu · Philip Sekulic
Prediction summary
Winner
Yuta Shimizu
Philip Sekulic
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Yuta Shimizu
5-5 (W-L)
Philip Sekulic
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Yuta Shimizu
0–1
Philip Sekulic
(1 last)
- 29 Nov0-2 4-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Yuta Shimizu 1528 · Philip Sekulic 1481
| Yuta Shimizu | Philip Sekulic | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 58% | 42% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Yuta Shimizu (rating 1528 vs 1481).
- Head-to-head: Yuta Shimizu 0–1 Philip Sekulic (1).
Statistics
| Yuta Shimizu | Philip Sekulic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 56% (9) | 43% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 1-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-11.1 | 9.2-11.5 |
| Aces | 3 | 4.9 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 66% | 65.6% |
| Break % | 37.5% | 32.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8
H2H · Yuta Shimizu 0 – 1 Philip Sekulic (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Yuta Shimizu 0–1 Philip Sekulic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/11/24 Challenger Yokkaichi | 0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yuta Shimizu
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Arthur Weber Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 11/09 | Hiroki Moriya Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-1 | 19-18 | W |
| 09/09 | Kasidit Samrej Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 08/09 | Aditya Vishal Balsekar Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 18/08 | Anton Matusevich Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 23/07 | Johannus Monday Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 21/07 | Liam Broady Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 15/07 | Justin Boulais Challenger Granby · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 14/07 | Jay Friend Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 07/07 | Ryan Colby M25 Laval |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Philip Sekulic
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/09 | Ilia Simakin Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 11/09 | Koki Matsuda Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 03/09 | Sora Fukuda M25 Urayasu |
1-2 | 7-14 | L |
| 02/09 | Yunseong Chung M25 Urayasu |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 29/07 | Clement Chidekh Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 22/07 | Shintaro Mochizuki Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 17/07 | Murphy Cassone Challenger Granby · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Daniil Glinka Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 14/07 | Strong Kirchheimer Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 05/07 | Patrick Maloney Challenger Newport · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yuta Shimizu vs Philip Sekulic?
Our model gives 57% to Yuta Shimizu, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.