Tennis · Challenger Phan Thiet · 15/09, 05:00
Prediction: Arthur Weber vs Koki Matsuda
Team pages: Arthur Weber · Koki Matsuda
Prediction summary
Winner
Arthur Weber
Koki Matsuda
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Arthur Weber
9-1 (W-L)
Koki Matsuda
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Arthur Weber
2–0
Koki Matsuda
(2 last)
- 05 Sept2-0 13-10W
- 09 Aug2-0 12-4W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Arthur Weber 1609 · Koki Matsuda 1511
| Arthur Weber | Koki Matsuda | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 64% | 36% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Arthur Weber (rating 1609 vs 1511).
- Arthur Weber is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Arthur Weber 2–0 Koki Matsuda (2).
Statistics
| Arthur Weber | Koki Matsuda | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 90% (10) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.2 | 1.2-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.2-6 | 12.2-13.5 |
| Aces | 2.4 | 7.2 |
| Double faults | 0.8 | 1.7 |
| 1st serve % | 75% | 68.2% |
| Break % | 67% | 29.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
H2H · Arthur Weber 2 – 0 Koki Matsuda (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Arthur Weber 2–0 Koki Matsuda
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09/24 ITF M15 Hong Kong | 2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 09/08/23 ITF M25 Jakarta | 2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Arthur Weber
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Ilia Simakin Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 12/09 | Yuta Shimizu Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 11/09 | Filip Peliwo Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 10/09 | Tai Leonard Sach Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 08/09 | Tran Quoc Cuong Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 06/09 | Moerani Bouzige M15 Nonthaburi · ~Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 05/09 | Thantub Suksumrarn M15 Nonthaburi · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 04/09 | Thanapet Chanta M15 Nonthaburi · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 03/09 | Jordan Hasson M15 Nonthaburi · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 02/09 | Veerawit Kamput M15 Nonthaburi · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Koki Matsuda
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/09 | Philip Sekulic Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 08/09 | Martin Borisiouk Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 03/09 | Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/09 | Jake Delaney Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 31/08 | Fanming Meng Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 30/08 | Kaito Uesugi Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 18/08 | Chen Hui Ho M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 10/08 | Hayato Matsuoka Challenger Astana · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 07/08 | Gijs Brouwer Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 06/08 | Paul Inchauspe Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Arthur Weber vs Koki Matsuda?
Our model gives 64% to Arthur Weber, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.