Tennis · Challenger Guangzhou · 15/09, 05:00
Prediction: Elias Ymer vs Semen Pankin
Team pages: Elias Ymer · Semen Pankin
Prediction summary
Winner
Elias Ymer
Semen Pankin
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Elias Ymer
3-7 (W-L)
Semen Pankin
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Elias Ymer 1449 · Semen Pankin 1454
| Elias Ymer | Semen Pankin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 69% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Elias Ymer | Semen Pankin | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 29% (7) | 17% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.5 | 1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 10-12.3 | 10.7-11 |
| Aces | 5.5 | 5 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 68.4% | 70.6% |
| Break % | 33.3% | 42.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Elias Ymer
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/09 | Pavel Kotov Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 26/08 | Cristian Garin US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 24/08 | Franco Roncadelli US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 19/08 | Daniil Glinka Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 17/08 | Paul Jubb Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 03/08 | Federico Cina Challenger Lexington · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 25/07 | Trevor Svajda ATP Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 24/06 | Timofey Skatov Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Nikoloz Basilashvili Wimbledon · Grass |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 16/06 | Henry Searle Challenger Dublin · Grass |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
Semen Pankin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09 | Alexis Galarneau Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 31/08 | Yosuke Watanuki Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 22/08 | Dimitar Kisimov M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 21/08 | Stefan Horia Haita M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 10-6 | W |
| 20/08 | Drazen Petrovic M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 18/08 | Dusan Bazdar M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 12/08 | Fajing Sun Challenger Astana · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 10/08 | Dominik Palan Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/08 | Fajing Sun Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Manas Manoj Dhamne Challenger Samsun · Hard |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Elias Ymer vs Semen Pankin?
Our model gives 60% to Elias Ymer, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.