Tennis · Challenger Guangzhou · 15/09, 05:00
Prediction: Fajing Sun vs Alexis Galarneau
Team pages: Fajing Sun · Alexis Galarneau
Prediction summary
Winner
Fajing Sun
Alexis Galarneau
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Fajing Sun
3-7 (W-L)
Alexis Galarneau
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Fajing Sun 1506 · Alexis Galarneau 1507
| Fajing Sun | Alexis Galarneau | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 29% | 71% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Fajing Sun | Alexis Galarneau | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.3 | 1.1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-11.6 | 10.9-11.4 |
| Aces | 4.7 | 3.1 |
| Double faults | 1.4 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 67.7% | 66.6% |
| Break % | 46% | 45% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Fajing Sun
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/09 | Jie Cui Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 04/09 | Chun Hsin Tseng Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 03/09 | Hanyi Liu Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 31/08 | Tung-Lin Wu Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 14/08 | Hayato Matsuoka Challenger Astana · Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 12/08 | Semen Pankin Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 11/08 | Zangar Nurlanuly Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 05/08 | Ilia Simakin Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 03/08 | Semen Pankin Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/07 | Mees Rottgering Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Alexis Galarneau
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/09 | Pavel Kotov Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
1-2 | 8-15 | L |
| 09/09 | Linang Xiao Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 07/09 | Semen Pankin Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 26/08 | Dalibor Svrcina US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 24/08 | Keegan Smith US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 21/08 | Jacob Fearnley Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 20/08 | Dino Prizmic Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 03/08 | Vit Kopriva ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 18/07 | Aleksandar Vukic Challenger Granby · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 15/07 | Tyler Zink Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Fajing Sun vs Alexis Galarneau?
Our model gives 62% to Alexis Galarneau, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.