Tennis · Challenger Guangzhou · 15/09, 05:00
Prediction: Colin Sinclair vs Linang Xiao
Team pages: Colin Sinclair · Linang Xiao
Prediction summary
Winner
Colin Sinclair
Linang Xiao
Estimated games
23.4
Recent form · 10 last
Colin Sinclair
6-4 (W-L)
Linang Xiao
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Colin Sinclair
2–0
Linang Xiao
(2 last)
- 02 Sept2-1 15-11W
- 02 Apr2-0 12-5W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Colin Sinclair 1524 · Linang Xiao 1428
| Colin Sinclair | Linang Xiao | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Colin Sinclair (rating 1524 vs 1428).
- Colin Sinclair is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Colin Sinclair 2–0 Linang Xiao (2).
Statistics
| Colin Sinclair | Linang Xiao | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 30% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.2 | 1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.5-12.9 | 10.8-12.8 |
| Aces | 10.4 | 3.3 |
| Double faults | 3 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 79.9% | 67.4% |
| Break % | 39.4% | 46.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.4
H2H · Colin Sinclair 2 – 0 Linang Xiao (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Colin Sinclair 2–0 Linang Xiao
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09/26 M15 Wuning | 2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 02/04/26 M25 Maanshan | 2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Colin Sinclair
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09 | Boxiong Zhang M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 05/09 | Qian Sun M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 04/09 | Zijiang Yang M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 03/09 | Shaoyun Liu M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 02/09 | Linang Xiao M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 11/08 | Takuya Kumasaka Challenger Astana · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 10/08 | Damir Zhalgasbay Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 09/08 | Alibek Kachmazov Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 03/08 | Digvijay Pratap Singh Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 02/08 | Maxwell McKennon Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Linang Xiao
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09 | Alexis Galarneau Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 07/09 | Kaichi Uchida Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 02/09 | Colin Sinclair M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 26/08 | Fitriadi M Rifqi M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 20/05 | Xiuyuan Ye M15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/05 | Andre Ilagan Challenger Wuxi · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 22/04 | Filip Peliwo M25 Luzhou · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 14/04 | Blake Ellis Challenger Wuning · Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 02/04 | Colin Sinclair M25 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/04 | Yaojie Zeng M25 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Colin Sinclair vs Linang Xiao?
Our model gives 59% to Colin Sinclair, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.