Tennis · Challenger Guangzhou · 15/09, 05:00
Prediction: Yaojie Zeng vs Akira Santillan
Team pages: Yaojie Zeng · Akira Santillan
Prediction summary
Winner
Yaojie Zeng
Akira Santillan
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Yaojie Zeng
5-5 (W-L)
Akira Santillan
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Yaojie Zeng
0–3
Akira Santillan
(3 last)
- 05 Mar1-2 13-17L
- 30 Oct0-2 8-12L
- 24 Aug0-2 4-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Yaojie Zeng 1488 · Akira Santillan 1490
| Yaojie Zeng | Akira Santillan | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 29% | 71% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Yaojie Zeng dominates on serve: 6.1 aces and 47.8% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Yaojie Zeng 0–3 Akira Santillan (3).
Statistics
| Yaojie Zeng | Akira Santillan | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1 | 0.9-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-9.7 | 9.6-12 |
| Aces | 6.1 | 4.3 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 73.8% | 64.6% |
| Break % | 47.8% | 51.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
H2H · Yaojie Zeng 0 – 3 Akira Santillan (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Yaojie Zeng 0–3 Akira Santillan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/03/26 M15 Maanshan | 1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 30/10/25 ITF M25 Qian Daohu | 0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 24/08/25 Challenger Zhangjiagang | 0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yaojie Zeng
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09 | Omar Jasika Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 06/09 | Aoran Wang Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 08/07 | Martin Borisiouk M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-9 | L |
| 03/07 | Amirkhamza Nasridinov M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 02/07 | Chun-Chien Hou M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/07 | Viktor Frydrych M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-10 | W |
| 23/06 | Pawit Sornlaksup M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/06 | Hanyi Liu M15 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 05/06 | Tsung-Hao Huang M15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 04/06 | Qian Sun M15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Akira Santillan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/09 | Bernard Tomic Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 03/09 | Ilya Ivashka Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 01/09 | Omar Jasika Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/08 | Sanhui Shin M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Antoine Ghibaudo Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Digvijay Pratap Singh Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-1 | 13-14 | W |
| 22/07 | Mert Alkaya Challenger Segovia · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Alastair Gray Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 18/07 | Chris Rodesch Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 17/07 | Izan Almazan Valiente Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yaojie Zeng vs Akira Santillan?
Our model gives 62% to Akira Santillan, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.