Tennis · Challenger Guangzhou · 13/09, 10:00
Prediction: Hanyi Liu vs Yaroslav Demin
Team pages: Hanyi Liu · Yaroslav Demin
Prediction summary
Winner
Hanyi Liu
Yaroslav Demin
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Hanyi Liu
6-4 (W-L)
Yaroslav Demin
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hanyi Liu 1529 · Yaroslav Demin 1482
| Hanyi Liu | Yaroslav Demin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 31% | 69% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hanyi Liu (rating 1529 vs 1482).
Statistics
| Hanyi Liu | Yaroslav Demin | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 0% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.9 | 1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.5-8 | 10.6-10.8 |
| Aces | 2.8 | 3.1 |
| Double faults | 1.4 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 71.3% | 68.2% |
| Break % | 47.4% | 41% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hanyi Liu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09 | Denis Yevseyev Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 06/09 | Ren Nakamura Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 03/09 | Fajing Sun Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 31/08 | Kaichi Uchida Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 27/08 | Chase Ferguson M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Xing Dao Chen M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 10/07 | Hoyoung Roh M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 09/07 | Jia Hu M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/07 | Kosuke Shibano M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 02/07 | Zhao Zhao M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Yaroslav Demin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09 | Jack Loge M25 Casablanca · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 03/09 | Niklas Schell M25 Casablanca · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/09 | Yassine Smiej M25 Casablanca · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 27/08 | Alexander Ritschard M25 Oviedo |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 26/08 | Tristan McCormick M25 Oviedo |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 25/08 | Pablo Aunion M25 Oviedo |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 18/08 | Carles Hernandez M25 Santander |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 02/08 | Sidharth Rawat Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 19/07 | Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine Challenger Segovia · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 13/06 | Andrey Chepelev M25 Kiseljak · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hanyi Liu vs Yaroslav Demin?
Our model gives 57% to Yaroslav Demin, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.