Tennis · Challenger Guangzhou · 13/09, 10:00
Prediction: Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong vs Ye Hongyu
Team pages: Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong · Ye Hongyu
Prediction summary
Winner
Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong
Ye Hongyu
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong
6-4 (W-L)
Ye Hongyu
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong 1530 · Ye Hongyu 1442
| Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong | Ye Hongyu | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 38% |
| Market | 89% | 11% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong (rating 1530 vs 1442).
- Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong is in better form: 60% recent wins.
Statistics
| Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong | Ye Hongyu | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 30% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 0.8-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-10.3 | 9.2-11.6 |
| Aces | 3.9 | 3.4 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 70.3% | 66% |
| Break % | 59.8% | 46.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/09 | Omar Jasika Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 06/09 | Takeru Yuzuki Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 05/09 | Ilia Simakin Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 03/09 | Koki Matsuda Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/09 | Petr Bar Biryukov Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 31/08 | Dominik Palan Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 10/08 | Erik Arutiunian Challenger Astana · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 09/08 | Yerassyl Yerdilda Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 20/07 | Dominik Palan Challenger Segovia · Hard |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 19/07 | Alberto Barroso Campos Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Ye Hongyu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Chun-Chien Hou M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 03/06 | Thomas Nicholas Gadecki M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 02/06 | Matvey Greschner M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 22/05 | Artem Alekseychuk M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 06/05 | Uisung Park M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 05/05 | Wenze Li M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 10-3 | W |
| 15/04 | Xiaofei Wang M25 Anning · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 08/04 | Luca Castelnuovo M25 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 07/04 | Wenze Li M25 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-7 | W |
| 31/03 | Daniil Ostapenkov M25 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong vs Ye Hongyu?
Our model gives 77% to Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.