Tennis · Challenger Guangzhou · 13/09, 13:00
Prediction: Zijiang Yang vs Thomas Fancutt
Team pages: Zijiang Yang · Thomas Fancutt
Prediction summary
Winner
Zijiang Yang
Thomas Fancutt
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Zijiang Yang
5-5 (W-L)
Thomas Fancutt
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Zijiang Yang 1475 · Thomas Fancutt 1529
| Zijiang Yang | Thomas Fancutt | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 12% | 88% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Thomas Fancutt (rating 1475 vs 1529).
Statistics
| Zijiang Yang | Thomas Fancutt | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (10) | 63% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.5 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.3-12.1 | 12.3-10.7 |
| Aces | 1.3 | 5.7 |
| Double faults | 1.7 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 60.9% | 79% |
| Break % | 36.7% | 66% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Zijiang Yang
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09 | Colin Sinclair M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 03/09 | Wishaya Trongcharoenchaikul M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 02/09 | Minghui Zhang M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 01/09 | Vladimir Osminkin M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-1 | 10-11 | W |
| 25/08 | Alex Jones M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Zhao Zhao M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 02/06 | Zhao Zhao M15 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 13/05 | Toshiki Karigyo M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 12/05 | Ye Chen M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 06/05 | Kousuke Ogura M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Thomas Fancutt
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Luis Guto Miguel Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/08 | Karl Poling Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 24/08 | Bruno Kuzuhara Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 23/08 | Enmanuel Munoz Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 13/08 | Karl Poling M25 East Lansing |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 11/08 | Lincoln Battle M25 East Lansing |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/07 | Daniel Milavsky Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 14/07 | Jie Cui Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 13/07 | Hiroki Moriya Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 12/07 | Kaylan Bigun Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Zijiang Yang vs Thomas Fancutt?
Our model gives 74% to Thomas Fancutt, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.