Tennis · Challenger Tulln · 12/09, 11:00
Prediction: Vitaliy Sachko vs Mika Brunold
Team pages: Vitaliy Sachko · Mika Brunold
Prediction summary
Winner
Vitaliy Sachko
Mika Brunold
Estimated games
23
Recent form · 10 last
Vitaliy Sachko
6-4 (W-L)
Mika Brunold
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Vitaliy Sachko 1538 · Mika Brunold 1599
| Vitaliy Sachko | Mika Brunold | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 44% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mika Brunold (rating 1538 vs 1599).
Statistics
| Vitaliy Sachko | Mika Brunold | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 63% (8) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 1.6-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.4-11.6 | 12.8-9.1 |
| Aces | 5.3 | 1.8 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 67.9% | 70.7% |
| Break % | 44.8% | 52.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Vitaliy Sachko
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/09 | Matias Soto Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 09/09 | Marko Topo Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 08/09 | Daniel Siniakov Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 27/08 | Pablo Llamas Ruiz US Open · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 25/08 | Gauthier Onclin US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 12/08 | Dylan Dietrich Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 10/08 | Chun Hsin Tseng Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 04/08 | Lorenzo Giustino Challenger Hagen · Clay |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 19/07 | Jurij Rodionov ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 18/07 | Federico Coria ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Mika Brunold
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/09 | Gustavo Heide Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 10/09 | Filip Misolic Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-1 | 18-10 | W |
| 07/09 | Matthew William Donald Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 06/09 | Kai Wehnelt Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 26/08 | Sandro Kopp Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 25/08 | Raphael Perot Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 24/08 | Liam Gavrielides Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 23/08 | Ergi Kirkin Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 20/08 | Dominic Stephan Stricker Challenger Sion · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 19/08 | Calvin Hemery Challenger Sion · Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Vitaliy Sachko vs Mika Brunold?
Our model gives 57% to Mika Brunold, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.