Tennis · Challenger Tulln · 11/09, 10:00

Prediction: Matias Soto vs Vitaliy Sachko

Team pages: Matias Soto · Vitaliy Sachko

Prediction summary
Winner
41% 59%
Matias Soto Vitaliy Sachko
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
Matias Soto 5-5 (W-L)
LWWLLWLLWW
Vitaliy Sachko 5-5 (W-L)
LWLWLLWLWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Matias Soto 1517 · Vitaliy Sachko 1513
Matias SotoVitaliy Sachko
Our model51%49%
Market34%66%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Matias SotoVitaliy Sachko
Win %50%50%
Win % · Clay 43% (7) 50% (8)
Sets (G-P)1-1.11.2-1.1
Games (G-P)9.3-9.912.7-11.7
Aces3.94.8
Double faults32.6
1st serve %71%68.1%
Break %41.4%41.8%
Estimated total games (ours) 22

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Matias Soto

WLLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
09/09 Marvin Moeller
Challenger Tulln · Clay
2-1 15-10 W
07/09 Sandro Kopp
Challenger Tulln · Clay
2-0 13-8 W
01/09 Kilian Feldbausch
Challenger Como · Clay
0-2 5-12 L
26/08 Marvin Moeller
Challenger Augsburg · Clay
0-2 9-13 L
25/08 Oleksii Krutykh
Challenger Augsburg · Clay
2-0 12-7 W
18/08 Rudolf Molleker
Challenger Prague · Clay
0-2 6-12 L
24/07 Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves
M25 Sao Paulo
0-2 3-12 L
23/07 Rafael Tosetto
M25 Sao Paulo
2-0 12-7 W
22/07 Gabriel P Tumasonis
M25 Sao Paulo
2-0 12-5 W
12/07 Nicolas Mejia
Challenger Bogota · Clay
0-2 6-13 L

Vitaliy Sachko

LWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
09/09 Marko Topo
Challenger Tulln · Clay
2-0 12-6 W
08/09 Daniel Siniakov
Challenger Tulln · Clay
2-0 13-9 W
27/08 Pablo Llamas Ruiz
US Open · Hard
1-2 14-17 L
25/08 Gauthier Onclin
US Open · Hard
2-0 14-10 W
12/08 Dylan Dietrich
Challenger Hamburg · Clay
0-2 12-14 L
10/08 Chun Hsin Tseng
Challenger Hamburg · Clay
2-1 17-12 W
04/08 Lorenzo Giustino
Challenger Hagen · Clay
1-2 16-16 L
19/07 Jurij Rodionov
ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay
0-2 10-13 L
18/07 Federico Coria
ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay
2-0 13-8 W
12/07 Timofey Skatov
ATP Gstaad · Clay
0-2 6-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Matias Soto vs Vitaliy Sachko?

Our model gives 59% to Vitaliy Sachko, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.