Tennis · Challenger Tulln · 11/09, 10:00
Prediction: Zdenek Kolar vs Alex Barrena
Team pages: Zdenek Kolar · Alex Barrena
Prediction summary
Winner
Zdenek Kolar
Alex Barrena
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Zdenek Kolar
4-6 (W-L)
Alex Barrena
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Zdenek Kolar 1461 · Alex Barrena 1529
| Zdenek Kolar | Alex Barrena | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alex Barrena (rating 1461 vs 1529).
- Alex Barrena is in better form: 60% recent wins.
Statistics
| Zdenek Kolar | Alex Barrena | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 33% (9) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.4 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.9-11.1 | 10.9-10.5 |
| Aces | 1.8 | 1.1 |
| Double faults | 3.9 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 59.2% | 59.3% |
| Break % | 33% | 44.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Zdenek Kolar
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09 | Martin Krumich Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 08/09 | Olle Wallin Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 31/08 | Oriol Roca Batalla Challenger Porto · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 25/08 | Borna Gojo US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Raul Brancaccio Challenger Hagen · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 27/07 | Jan Kumstat Challenger Liberec · Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 20/07 | Thiago Seyboth Wild Challenger Zug · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Juan Manuel Cerundolo ATP Gstaad · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 09/07 | Taro Daniel Challenger Iasi · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 06/07 | Stefan Palosi Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
Alex Barrena
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09 | Nico Hipfl Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 07/09 | Ognjen Milic Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 01/09 | Gilles Arnaud Bailly Challenger Porto · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 15/08 | Maxim Mrva Challenger Todi · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 11/08 | Georgii Kravchenko Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 05/08 | Henri Squire Challenger Hagen · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 03/08 | Timofey Skatov Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 29/07 | Jan Choinski Challenger Bonn · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Johan Nikles Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Zdenek Kolar vs Alex Barrena?
Our model gives 54% to Alex Barrena, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.