Tennis · Challenger Tulln · 11/09, 10:00
Prediction: Mika Brunold vs Gustavo Heide
Team pages: Mika Brunold · Gustavo Heide
Prediction summary
Winner
Mika Brunold
Gustavo Heide
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Mika Brunold
8-2 (W-L)
Gustavo Heide
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Mika Brunold
0–1
Gustavo Heide
(1 last)
- 13 Jul0-2 6-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mika Brunold 1575 · Gustavo Heide 1544
| Mika Brunold | Gustavo Heide | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Mika Brunold is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Mika Brunold 0–1 Gustavo Heide (1).
- Note: Gustavo Heide makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Mika Brunold | Gustavo Heide | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 80% (10) | 71% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.6 | 1.2-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.9-9.5 | 11-10.3 |
| Aces | 2.1 | 2.8 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 4 |
| 1st serve % | 70.7% | 70.9% |
| Break % | 51.6% | 41.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9
H2H · Mika Brunold 0 – 1 Gustavo Heide (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Mika Brunold 0–1 Gustavo Heide
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07/24 ATP Gstaad | 0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mika Brunold
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/09 | Filip Misolic Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-1 | 18-10 | W |
| 07/09 | Matthew William Donald Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 06/09 | Kai Wehnelt Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 26/08 | Sandro Kopp Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 25/08 | Raphael Perot Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 24/08 | Liam Gavrielides Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 23/08 | Ergi Kirkin Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 20/08 | Dominic Stephan Stricker Challenger Sion · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 19/08 | Calvin Hemery Challenger Sion · Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 18/08 | Patrick Zahraj Challenger Sion · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Gustavo Heide
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/09 | Diego Dedura-Palomero Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 08/09 | Sean Cuenin Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 05/09 | Facundo Mena Challenger Porto · Clay |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 04/09 | Thiago Monteiro Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 02/09 | Tiago Pereira Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 31/08 | Goncalo Marques Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 24/08 | Joel Schwaerzler US Open · Hard |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 17/08 | Harold Mayot Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Luca Van Assche ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 18/07 | Kilian Feldbausch ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mika Brunold vs Gustavo Heide?
Our model gives 56% to Gustavo Heide, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.