Tennis · Challenger Phan Thiet · 12/09, 05:00

Prediction: Arthur Weber vs Yuta Shimizu

Team pages: Arthur Weber · Yuta Shimizu

Prediction summary
Winner
52% 48%
Arthur Weber Yuta Shimizu
Estimated games
20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Arthur Weber 9-1 (W-L)
WLWWWWWWWW
Yuta Shimizu 5-5 (W-L)
LLWLWWLWWL
Head-to-head
Arthur Weber 0–1 Yuta Shimizu (1 last)
  • 24 Sept1-2 11-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Arthur Weber 1620 · Yuta Shimizu 1517
Arthur WeberYuta Shimizu
Our model64%36%
Market41%59%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Arthur Weber (rating 1620 vs 1517).
  • Arthur Weber is in better form: 90% recent wins.
  • Head-to-head: Arthur Weber 0–1 Yuta Shimizu (1).

Statistics

Arthur WeberYuta Shimizu
Win %90%50%
Win % · Hard 90% (10) 56% (9)
Sets (G-P)1.8-0.21.1-1.2
Games (G-P)12.1-5.811.4-11.3
Aces23.2
Double faults1.32.8
1st serve %72.1%67%
Break %63.9%36.6%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.5

H2H · Arthur Weber 01 Yuta Shimizu (1)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Arthur Weber 01 Yuta Shimizu

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DateSetsGamesRes.
24/09/24
Challenger Nonthaburi
1-211-13L

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Arthur Weber

WWWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
11/09 Filip Peliwo
Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard
2-0 13-8 W
10/09 Tai Leonard Sach
Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard
2-0 12-0 W
08/09 Tran Quoc Cuong
Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard
2-0 12-0 W
06/09 Moerani Bouzige
M15 Nonthaburi · ~Hard
2-0 14-11 W
05/09 Thantub Suksumrarn
M15 Nonthaburi · ~Hard
2-0 12-3 W
04/09 Thanapet Chanta
M15 Nonthaburi · ~Hard
2-0 13-7 W
03/09 Jordan Hasson
M15 Nonthaburi · ~Hard
2-0 12-3 W
02/09 Veerawit Kamput
M15 Nonthaburi · ~Hard
2-0 12-7 W
27/08 Kristjan Tamm
M25 Taipei · ~Hard
0-2 9-13 L
26/08 Tsung-Hao Huang
M25 Taipei · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W

Yuta Shimizu

LLWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
11/09 Hiroki Moriya
Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard
2-1 19-18 W
09/09 Kasidit Samrej
Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard
2-0 12-8 W
08/09 Aditya Vishal Balsekar
Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard
2-0 12-2 W
18/08 Anton Matusevich
Challenger Roehampton · Hard
0-2 9-13 L
23/07 Johannus Monday
Challenger Winnipeg · Hard
1-2 12-16 L
21/07 Liam Broady
Challenger Winnipeg · Hard
2-0 13-7 W
15/07 Justin Boulais
Challenger Granby · Hard
0-2 6-13 L
14/07 Jay Friend
Challenger Granby · Hard
2-1 16-10 W
07/07 Ryan Colby
M25 Laval
0-2 3-12 L
30/06 Michael Mmoh
Challenger Cary · Hard
0-2 12-14 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Arthur Weber vs Yuta Shimizu?

Our model gives 52% to Arthur Weber, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.