Tennis · Challenger Genoa · 11/09, 10:00
Prediction: Pedro Martinez vs Valerio Aboian
Team pages: Pedro Martinez · Valerio Aboian
Prediction summary
Winner
Pedro Martinez
Valerio Aboian
Estimated games
22.2
Recent form · 10 last
Pedro Martinez
5-5 (W-L)
Valerio Aboian
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Pedro Martinez 1521 · Valerio Aboian 1570
| Pedro Martinez | Valerio Aboian | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 81% | 19% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Valerio Aboian (rating 1521 vs 1570).
Statistics
| Pedro Martinez | Valerio Aboian | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (4) | 86% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.9 | 1.5-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-10.2 | 12.7-10.2 |
| Aces | 1 | 4.4 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 1.3 |
| 1st serve % | 62% | 69.3% |
| Break % | 51.6% | 45.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Pedro Martinez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09 | Maximo Zeitune Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/09 | Francesco Forti Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 03/09 | Jay Clarke Challenger Como · Clay |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 25/08 | Daniil Glinka US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 22/08 | Valentin Royer Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/08 | Daniil Glinka Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 20/08 | Juan Carlos Prado Angelo Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 19/08 | Garrett Johns Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/08 | Evan Zhu Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 28/07 | Hugo Dellien Challenger San Marino · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Valerio Aboian
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09 | Andrea Pellegrino Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/09 | Juan Cruz Martin Manzano Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 07/09 | Lorenzo Rottoli Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 06/09 | Luca Castagnola Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 05/09 | Yanaki Milev Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 04/09 | Federico Iannaccone Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/09 | Sebastian Sorger Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-1 | 18-9 | W |
| 28/08 | Filip Jeff Planinsek M25 Maribor |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 27/08 | Karlo Kajin M25 Maribor |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 21/08 | Filip Jeff Planinsek M25 Slovenj Gradec |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Pedro Martinez vs Valerio Aboian?
Our model gives 64% to Pedro Martinez, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.