Tennis · Challenger Shanghai · 11/09, 09:30
Prediction: Ji Sung Nam vs Luca Castelnuovo
Team pages: Ji Sung Nam · Luca Castelnuovo
Prediction summary
Winner
Ji Sung Nam
Luca Castelnuovo
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Ji Sung Nam
5-5 (W-L)
Luca Castelnuovo
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ji Sung Nam 1529 · Luca Castelnuovo 1554
| Ji Sung Nam | Luca Castelnuovo | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Luca Castelnuovo dominates on serve: 8.8 aces and 45.5% break avg.
- Note: Luca Castelnuovo makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Ji Sung Nam | Luca Castelnuovo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 63% (8) | 67% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.8-9.8 | 12.5-12.2 |
| Aces | 4.1 | 8.8 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 4.1 |
| 1st serve % | 68.5% | 76.5% |
| Break % | 39.1% | 45.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ji Sung Nam
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/09 | Denis Yevseyev Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/09 | Rei Sakamoto Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 07/09 | Kaito Uesugi Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 06/09 | Joshua Charlton Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 30/08 | Dominik Palan Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 31/05 | Jan Kumstat Challenger Prostejov · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 24/05 | Laurent Lokoli Challenger Vicenza · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 12/04 | Marat Sharipov Challenger Busan · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 31/03 | Braden Shick Challenger Miyazaki · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/03 | Yuta Kikuchi Challenger Miyazaki · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Luca Castelnuovo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/09 | Tung-Lin Wu Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 08/09 | Chun Hsin Tseng Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 07/09 | Tsung-Hao Huang Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/08 | Kuan-Shou Chen M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 28/08 | Yanki Erel M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 27/08 | Hiromasa Koyama M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 26/08 | Moerani Bouzige M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 19/07 | Alexander Vasilev Challenger Segovia · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Antoine Ghibaudo Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 09/07 | Max Basing Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ji Sung Nam vs Luca Castelnuovo?
Our model gives 50% to Ji Sung Nam, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.