Tennis · Challenger Phan Thiet · 10/09, 04:30
Prediction: Enzo Aguiard vs Ilia Simakin
Team pages: Enzo Aguiard · Ilia Simakin
Prediction summary
Winner
Enzo Aguiard
Ilia Simakin
Estimated games
22.4
Recent form · 10 last
Enzo Aguiard
6-4 (W-L)
Ilia Simakin
10-0 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Enzo Aguiard 1606 · Ilia Simakin 1629
| Enzo Aguiard | Ilia Simakin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 23% | 77% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Enzo Aguiard dominates on serve: 8 aces and 43.7% break avg.
- Ilia Simakin dominates on serve: 7.8 aces and 54.2% break avg.
Statistics
| Enzo Aguiard | Ilia Simakin | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 90% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (10) | 90% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.6 | 1.9-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.7-10.6 | 14-10 |
| Aces | 8 | 7.8 |
| Double faults | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1st serve % | 76.3% | 81% |
| Break % | 43.7% | 54.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Enzo Aguiard
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09 | Khumoyun Sultanov Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 04/09 | Kasidit Samrej Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 03/09 | Khumoyun Sultanov Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 01/09 | Hayato Matsuoka Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 31/08 | Kokoro Isomura Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
2-1 | 20-18 | W |
| 31/08 | Jesse Delaney Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 29/08 | Tianhui Zhang M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 28/08 | Yusuke Takahashi M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 27/08 | Reiya Komagata M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 26/08 | Fanming Meng M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Ilia Simakin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/09 | Sergio Callejon Hernando Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 06/09 | Kasidit Samrej Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 05/09 | Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 04/09 | Ilya Ivashka Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 03/09 | Matthew Dellavedova Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 01/09 | Denis Yevseyev Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 09/08 | Lucas Poullain Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 08/08 | Antoine Ghibaudo Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 07/08 | Florent Bax Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 05/08 | Fajing Sun Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Enzo Aguiard vs Ilia Simakin?
Our model gives 66% to Ilia Simakin, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.