Tennis · Challenger Seville · 09/09, 18:00
Prediction: Alexander Ritschard vs Sebastian Ofner
Team pages: Alexander Ritschard · Sebastian Ofner
Prediction summary
Winner
Alexander Ritschard
Sebastian Ofner
Estimated games
22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Alexander Ritschard
7-3 (W-L)
Sebastian Ofner
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alexander Ritschard 1642 · Sebastian Ofner 1452
| Alexander Ritschard | Sebastian Ofner | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 75% | 25% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alexander Ritschard (rating 1642 vs 1452).
- Alexander Ritschard is in better form: 90% recent wins.
Statistics
| Alexander Ritschard | Sebastian Ofner | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 20% |
| Win % · Clay | 100% (3) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.5 | 0.7-1.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.8-9.1 | 10.7-12.7 |
| Aces | 2.3 | 5.9 |
| Double faults | 3.6 | 3.9 |
| 1st serve % | 68.4% | 73.4% |
| Break % | 47.2% | 41% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alexander Ritschard
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/09 | Roberto Carballes Baena Challenger Seville · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 07/09 | Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez Challenger Seville · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 06/09 | Sergi Perez Contri Challenger Seville · Clay |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 29/08 | Sergi Perez Contri M25 Oviedo |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 28/08 | Ivan Gakhov M25 Oviedo |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 27/08 | Yaroslav Demin M25 Oviedo |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 26/08 | Alejandro Juan Mano M25 Oviedo |
2-1 | 16-7 | W |
| 23/08 | Carlos Sanchez Jover M25 Santander |
0-2 | 3-10 | L |
| 22/08 | Sergi Perez Contri M25 Santander |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 21/08 | Ignacio Parisca Romera M25 Santander |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Sebastian Ofner
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/09 | Felix Gill Challenger Seville · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/08 | Kei Nishikori US Open · Hard |
1-2 | 9-14 | L |
| 18/08 | Roman Safiullin Challenger Cancun · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 12/08 | Marco Trungelliti ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 01/08 | Jacob Fearnley ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 21/07 | Alex Molcan ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Thiago Agustin Tirante ATP Bastad · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Daniel Rincon Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 07/07 | Norbert Gombos Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/07 | Hubert Hurkacz Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 14-19 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alexander Ritschard vs Sebastian Ofner?
Our model gives 56% to Alexander Ritschard, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.